Climate Impact Analysis in Cold Regions

2400 12 59702 2 166225 document 59702 RR-85-08.pdf application/pdf 36a811bd13e330272f5afe6747b44055 MD5 5647938 2016-06-02 09:34:12 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/2400/1/RR-85-08.pdf 2400 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by

RR-85-08.pdf

published 59703 2 166228 document 59703 lightbox.jpg image/png d122c18b40f2284cd6d2024b387a858d MD5 13581 2016-06-02 09:34:30 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/2400/2/lightbox.jpg 2400 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

lightbox.jpg

preview.jpg

medium.jpg

small.jpg

indexcodes.txt

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/59702 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/59702 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/59702 archive 351 disk0/00/00/24/00 2016-01-15 01:54:28 2021-08-27 17:35:27 2016-01-15 01:54:28 monograph show 1 Parry M.L. AL1087 Carter T.R. Konijn N. AL0866 Climate Impact Analysis in Cold Regions pub iis_env iis_ecl prog_cli Among the many factors influencing agricultural and forest productivity worldwide, the effects of weather and climate are of considerable importance. Anomalous fluctuations of climate, particularly thermal conditions, can have a marked effect in high latitude regions where activities are already constrained by low temperatures and a short growing season. Moreover, a consideration of possible future climatic changes (e.g. those that may result from increased concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide) adds a further dimension to the problem of assessing the regional sensitivity of crop production to climate. In many regions, the impacts of a climatic event extend well beyond the direct, physical response of crops. For instance, the resulting changes in crop production may affect farm incomes, regional food-based industries, employment and prices, with the ripple-effects filtering through to other sectors of an economy and society. This paper outlines a methodology for assessing the sensitivity of crop productivity to climate and shows how this may be elaborated to include a consideration of the economic and social implications of crop productivity changes. The approach uses a hierarchy of models, each one representing a stage in the cascade of responses induced by an anomalous climatic event. In particular, three sets of models are identified - of climatic changes, of climate impacts on potential and actual yield, and of the down-stream economic and social effects of these. By considering a range of credible future climatic scenarios, it is possible to produce estimates of impact and to examine a range of adjustments that might be of interest to the agricultural planner or decision-maker. The methodology is being tested in ten countries as part of a two year IIASA/UNEP research project. 1984 published RR-85-008. Reprinted from Characteristics of the North, Proceedings of the XIX Conference of Finnish Geographers, L. Koutaniemi (ed.), Nordia, 18(2):67-79 [1984] RP-85-008 Reprinted from Characteristics of the North; Proceedings of the XIX Conference of Finnish Geographers, L. Koutaniemi (ed.), Nordia, 18(2):67-79 [1984] 10 2279 2057 public research_reprint Characteristics of the North IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 16 TRUE Geographers Proceedings of the XIX Conference of Finnish Koutaniemi L. FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book