Parametrized Multistate Population Projections

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2591 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2591 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2591 archive 351 disk0/00/00/25/42 2016-01-15 01:55:14 2021-08-27 17:12:08 2016-01-15 01:55:14 monograph show 2 Rogers A. AL1153 Planck F. AL1102 Parametrized Multistate Population Projections pub iis_pop prog_pop This paper reports progress on the development of a population projection process that emphasizes model selection over demographic accounting. Transparent multiregional/multistate population projections that rely on parametrized model schedules are illustrated, together with simple techniques that extrapolate the recent trends exhibited by the parameters of such schedules. The parametrized schedules condense the amount of demographic information, expressing it in a language and variables that are more readily understood by the users of the projections. In addition, they permit a concise specification of the expected temporal patterns of variation among these variables, and they allow a disaggregated focus on demographic change that otherwise would not be feasible. 1984-08 published CP-84-035 CP-84-035 2339 2294 public collaborative_paper IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 54 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book