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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2680 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2680 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2680 archive 351 disk0/00/00/26/30 2016-01-15 01:55:49 2021-08-27 17:12:18 2016-01-15 01:55:49 monograph show 3 Munn R.E. AL1025 The Design of Integrated Monitoring Systems to Provide Early Indications of Environmental/Ecological Changes pub iis_ecl iis_env prog_env One of the important goals of the next two decades is to achieve and maintain ecologically sustainable development of the biosphere. However, the management of ecological systems is rather difficult, largely because of uncertainties in long-term predictions of environmental and ecological behaviour. Thus, one of the objectives for integrated monitoring should be to provide early indications of impending changes so that mitigative actions can be taken. Also it may be important to be able to estimate in advance the detectability of the environmental changes that would ensue if a particular management strategy (e.g., a 30% reduction in sulphur emissions) were to be adopted. Monitoring systems have not traditionally been set up for these purposes. This paper includes a discussion of the factors to be considered in the design of early-warning monitoring systems, and gives some examples. One approach that appears to be particularly promising is that of identifying, quantifying and monitoring the stresses, feedbacks and component lags in the environmental-ecological system being studied. 1985-10 published WP-85-071 WP-85-071 2215 public working_paper IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 26 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book