Future Penetration of Advanced Industrial Robots in the Japanese Manufacturing Industry: An Econometric Forecasting Model

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2997 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2997 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/2997 archive 351 disk0/00/00/29/57 2016-01-15 01:57:47 2021-08-27 17:12:57 2016-01-15 01:57:47 monograph show 2 Tani A. AL1286 Future Penetration of Advanced Industrial Robots in the Japanese Manufacturing Industry: An Econometric Forecasting Model pub iis_frc iis_mnt iis_mod prog_cim A new econometric model to forecast industrial robot penetration is proposed. This model consists of the following three components: (1) Application of a "learning curve" for industrial robot prices; (2) Application of an extended production function taking account of industrial robot population effects; (3) Introduction of a demand function for "augmented equivalent labor force", in order to integrate the above two components. The validation of the proposed model was made for the penetration of advanced industrial robots in the Japanese manufacturing industry. The forecasts of I.R. penetration by this model were compared with the simple logistic curve model and also with the forecasts by JIRA (Japan Industrial Robot Association). 1987-10 published WP-87-095 WP-87-095 10 2444 public working_paper IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 39 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book