Future Regional Population Patterns in the Soviet Union: Scenarios to the Year 2050

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3143 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3143 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3143 archive 351 disk0/00/00/31/02 2016-01-15 01:58:39 2023-08-05 05:00:16 2016-01-15 01:58:39 monograph show 2 Scherbov S. 7113 0000-0002-0881-1073 Lutz W. 1124 0000-0001-7975-8145 Future Regional Population Patterns in the Soviet Union: Scenarios to the Year 2050 pub iis_pop iis_reg prog_pop At the moment the Asian republics of the Soviet Union are at different stages of their demographic transition from "pre-modern" high fertility levels to "modern" low fertility while the Western parts of the Soviet Union are already past this transition and exhibit even sub-replacement fertility. Any population projection should take account of this apparent heterogeneity. As compared to the conventional low-, medium-, and high-variant approach to population projection the scenario approach chosen in this paper has the advantage that it can more directly point at the consequences of different assumptions on future paths in the individual republics of the Soviet Union. 1988-11 published WP-88-104 WP-88-104 10 270 190 public working_paper IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 27 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book