Fail-Safe vs. Safe-Fail Catastrophes

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/329 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/329 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/329 archive 351 disk0/00/00/03/35 2016-01-15 01:42:00 2021-08-27 17:07:52 2016-01-15 01:42:00 monograph show 2 Jones D.D. AL12010 Holling C.S. AL0752 Peterman R. Fail-Safe vs. Safe-Fail Catastrophes pub iis_sys prog_gen This paper is meant to serve two purposes. First, to extend the usefulness of catastrophe theory as a tool to aid our perception of a partially known world. This theory is a newly emerged branch of topology and, as such, begins to fill a large void in our arsenal of qualitative analytical tools. It is not appropriate for all important and interesting situations, particularly those requiring precise numerical results. But it is hoped that it can provide an important missing element for our environmental management tool kit. The second purpose is to report upon some deliberations precipitated by a recent paper of Beer and Casti (1975). We shall follow, to some degree, their development. We shall also borrow some of their examples and terminology in order to emphasize some fundamentally different strategies for managing unexpected events. 1975 published WP-75-093 WP-75-093 10 2629 1962 public working_paper IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 24 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book