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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/43956 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/43956 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/43956 archive 351 disk0/00/00/33/64 2016-01-15 02:00:27 2021-08-27 17:13:44 2016-01-15 02:00:27 monograph show 3 Astakhov A. Grubler A. 1115 0000-0002-7814-4990 Mookhin A. pub iis_ene iis_mnt iis_ecn prog_ecs This article presents an analysis of technological changes in the underground coal-mining industry of the USSR. It describes within a quantitative framework the evolution of the coal-mining industry in general, based on macro-indicators of output, production intensity, and labor productivity. The article then discusses qualitatively the different historical phases of technology development inside the industry and concludes with a quantification of technological diffusion trajectories, based on standard bi- and multi-variate models of technological substitution of the Fisher-Pry and Marchetti-Nakicenovic type. The paper not only provides insight into the dynamics of technological change in the coal-mining industry of the USSR, but also illustrates the applicability of standard technology diffusion and substitution models for the analysis of technological change in a planned economy. Although not exhaustive the analysis presents a first step for the development of more comprehensive models of the causal forces behind the patterns of technological change identified, and for international comparison of technology diffusion in the coal-mining sector. 1990 published RR-91-004. Reprinted from Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 38(3):223-256 RP-91-004 10 112 public research_reprint Technological Forecasting and Social Change 38 3 IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 223-256 36 TRUE FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book