Production Costing Simulation in Thermal Power Systems Using the Mixture of Conditional Load Distribution Functions

3375 30 3422 4 6797 document 3422 WP-90-080.pdf application/pdf 2b7b2ab42e863ba278f11b811700c3b5 MD5 279380 2016-01-15 02:00:29 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/3375/1/WP-90-080.pdf 3375 1 1 text en public

WP-90-080.pdf

22 0b74b0a165bbdc462e8d8ec9c177cff3618033e7 12726 1 20727 document 12726 indexcodes.txt text/x-pascal 555c676bdd70a772411d9a334272dd36 MD5 3255 2016-01-15 08:22:26 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/3375/2/indexcodes.txt 3375 2 2 text/x-pascal other Generate index codes conversion from text to indexcodes en public

indexcodes.txt

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 12727 2 20728 document 12727 lightbox.jpg image/png 1bab1cebf9c49c0488a0d93629ec13c7 MD5 16594 2016-01-15 08:22:28 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/3375/3/lightbox.jpg 3375 3 3 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

lightbox.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 http://eprints.org/relation/islightboxThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 12728 2 20729 document 12728 preview.jpg image/png 4692d185c8c13a58dac17cc530e2ae4a MD5 7977 2016-01-15 08:22:30 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/3375/4/preview.jpg 3375 4 4 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_preview en public

preview.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 http://eprints.org/relation/ispreviewThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 12729 2 20730 document 12729 medium.jpg image/png dadf9f8375c192514bad99a3ced52acf MD5 2194 2016-01-15 08:22:31 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/3375/5/medium.jpg 3375 5 5 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_medium en public

medium.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 http://eprints.org/relation/ismediumThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 12730 2 20731 document 12730 small.jpg image/png d04adf2a40c9aeb2ad1a7d19378657e3 MD5 1078 2016-01-15 08:22:32 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/3375/6/small.jpg 3375 6 6 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_small en public

small.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 81790 2 229422 document 81790 WP-90-080.pdf application/pdf c2418c83a48886142430dee569cde9fc MD5 974122 2018-03-13 17:45:10 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/3375/7/WP-90-080.pdf 3375 7 7 application/pdf other Coversheet version en public

WP-90-080.pdf

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3422 archive 351 disk0/00/00/33/75 2016-01-15 02:00:29 2021-08-27 17:13:45 2016-01-15 02:00:29 monograph show 2 Hoffer J. Doerfner P. AL0604 Production Costing Simulation in Thermal Power Systems Using the Mixture of Conditional Load Distribution Functions pub iis_ene iis_met iis_ecn prog_ado In the 1980's the cumulant method became popular in reliability type algorithms for production cost evaluation, particularly in the evaluation of loss-of-load probability (LOLP), energy not served (ENS) and expected energy generation (EEG) of a set of generating units belonging to an electric power system. We developed a probabilistic model which is able to handle the uncertainty of both generating units and peak load forecast. In order to model the load including peak load forecast uncertainty we use conditional probability distributions. We show that the cumulant method is still applicable, as we can compute all the moments of the load duration curve (load distribution) without discretizing the density function of peak load forecast. 1990-12 published WP-90-080 WP-90-080 10 1844 public working_paper IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 16 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book