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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3521 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3521 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/3521 archive 351 disk0/00/00/34/86 2016-01-15 02:00:59 2021-08-27 17:13:57 2016-01-15 02:00:59 monograph show 2 Grubler A. 1115 0000-0002-7814-4990 Nakicenovic N. 395 0000-0001-7176-4604 pub iis_ene iis_trn iis_ecn prog_ecs In this report the authors develop a scenario for future developments in the transport sector and their implications for future demand. In developing a comprehensive mode-space-time coverage of the evolution of transport systems, the analysis indicates that present transport systems are approaching a number of limits: market saturation in leading countries and an increasing awareness of the social and environmental disbenefits associated with a further intensification in the use of present-day oil-based transport systems. The report describes an innovative scenario from a historical perspective, taking into account a number of institutional and physical constraints to significant future increases in the the car population and air travel demand at the global level. 1991-06 published RR-91-008 RR-91-008 10 112 214 public research_report IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 118 TRUE FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book