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RR-93-18.pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/60032 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/60032 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/60032 archive 351 disk0/00/00/35/92 2016-01-15 02:01:38 2021-08-27 17:35:35 2016-01-15 02:01:38 monograph show 1 Marchetti C. 1619 pub iis_ene iis_frc prog_ins In this paper I have extensively applied the model of cultural diffusion (a) to the market penetration of nuclear energy at the level of the world and of single nations; (b) to the interaction with and the reaction of the media to nuclear events; and (c) to legislation related to ecological matters. The result of this analysis is (a) that the stasis in nuclear construction is due to the approaching end of the Kondratiev cycle; (b) that opposition to nuclear plant construction may have important qualitative, not not quantitative effects; (c) that media coverage of nuclear construction can be modeled and has no effect on market penetration although it might have on accidents; (d) that nuclear power station construction will probably restart during this decade on a grand scale. A scenario is drawn for a final configuration, with nuclear energy as the sole primary energy source. 1992 published RR-93-018. Reprinted from Perspectives in Energy, 2:19-34 [1992]. RP-93-018 Reprinted from Perspectives in Energy; 2:19-34 [1992] 10 195 public research_reprint Perspectives in Energy 2 IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 19-34 20 TRUE FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book