Extrapolating Trending Geological Bodies

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/509 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/509 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/509 archive 351 disk0/00/00/04/86 2016-01-15 01:42:58 2021-08-27 17:08:12 2016-01-15 01:42:58 monograph show 2 Baecher G.B. AL0465 Gros J.G. AL0720 Extrapolating Trending Geological Bodies pub iis_ene iis_met iis_mod prog_hss An attempt is made to structure the heuristic process of extrapolating trending geologic bodies in the analytic framework of Bayesian inference. The approach models spatial properties of trending bodies rather than geological processes, and includes components of uncertainty arising out of trend model selection. Inclusion of several components of uncertainty leads to rapid dispersion of the probability density of predicted location away from the region of observations, in conformity with the intuitive notion of valid distances of prediction. The philosophical foundations of exploration and the role of probabilistic predictions in decisionmaking are briefly discussed. 1975-05 published RM-75-030 RM-75-030 10 1701 1925 public research_memorandum IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 58 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book