World Population Prospects: Analyzing the 1996 UN Population Projections

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/4180 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/4180 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/4180 archive 351 disk0/00/00/48/82 2016-01-15 02:07:32 2021-08-27 17:15:37 2016-01-15 02:07:32 monograph show 2 Heilig G.K. 1305 World Population Prospects: Analyzing the 1996 UN Population Projections pub iis_pop prog_luc This working paper analyzes the most recent population assessments and projections (the 1996 edition), conducted by the United Nations Population Division, New York. Its main objective is to cut through the maze of available data and identify ten demographic trends, which are most relevant for studying global (land-use) change. The paper also discusses possibilities for improving the accuracy of population projections by applying probabilistic methods or a scenario approach. Finally, the paper analyzes factors that might affect future trends in world population growth, such as global food constraints or a widespread health crisis due to AIDS. 1996-12 published WP-96-146 WP-96-146 <www.iiasa.ac.at/Admin/PUB/Documents/WP-96-146.html> 10 1318 public working_paper IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 54 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book