Energy Demand and Supply, 1900-2100

5292 11 60392 2 167157 document 60392 RR-98-04.pdf application/pdf f0a3f803e9d7462f802bd844657c1a98 MD5 7026697 2016-06-02 12:58:58 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/5292/1/RR-98-04.pdf 5292 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by

RR-98-04.pdf

published 60393 2 167160 document 60393 lightbox.jpg image/png cfac0e5db56d93e2f3b77fa7accebd47 MD5 12128 2016-06-02 12:59:34 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/5292/2/lightbox.jpg 5292 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/60392 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/60392 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/60392 archive 351 disk0/00/00/52/92 2016-01-15 02:09:13 2021-08-27 17:16:10 2016-01-15 02:09:13 monograph show 2 Schrattenholzer L. AL1189 Energy Demand and Supply, 1900-2100 pub iis_ecn iis_ene iis_env prog_ecs One basic work of the IIASA project on Environmentally Compatible Energy Strategies (ECS) is a detailed assessment of specific technologies that might play a role in scoring well, with respect to the conflicting objectives of development and environmental protection. The result of this assessment is a technology inventory, labeled CO2DB (Messner and Strubegger, 1991). CO2DB is a data base, implemented on personal computers, including technology descriptions, their environmental and economic characteristics as well as information on technology diffusion (temporal and geographical) and transfer. Currently, CO2DB contains information on more than 1,400 technologies. A recent synthesis of ECS work in the past years was the creation, in collaboration with the World Energy Council (WEC), of long-term global energy scenarios (IIASA-WEC 1995). Among others, the IIASA-WEC scenarios aim to assess how these technologies might be put into widespread use, to minimize the emission of greenhouse gases (GHGs), and to serve the development of all world regions. This paper describes selected results of the IIASA-WEC scenarios, and summarizes the basis on which they are built. In this way, readers can form their own opinion on the results. We begin by analyzing past energy demand and supply, together with its most important determinants. The main aspect of their scenarios is that (i) fear of exhaustion of resources seems to have been exaggerated in the wake of the oil price hike of the 1970s and (ii) each link of the causal chain between greenhouse gas emissions, climate change, and subsequent damage is not sufficiently understood to allow precise forecasting, and it seems wise for policy-makers to act on the principal of making mid-course corrections to their chosen energy strategies on the basis of new knowledge and R&D for energy-efficient technologies. 1997 published RR-98-004. Reprinted from Science Vision, 3(1):39-57 [1997]. RP-98-004 Reprinted from Science Vision; 3(1):39-57 [1997] 10 2366 public research_reprint Science Vision 3 1 IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 39-57 24 TRUE FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book