Analysis and Forecasting of Social Security: A Study of Robustness

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/4625 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/4625 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/4625 archive 351 disk0/00/00/59/35 2016-01-15 02:11:37 2021-08-27 17:16:54 2016-01-15 02:11:37 monograph show 4 Westlund A. 7162 Ermolieva T. 7638 MacKellar F.L. AL0956 Analysis and Forecasting of Social Security: A Study of Robustness pub iis_ssr prog_ssr In this paper, we analyze the robustness of an economic-demographic projection model emphasizing the macroeconomic impact of age-structured savings and consumption behavior. The parameters varied are saving and labor force participation rates (two of the key sources of uncertainty in the social security policy debate) and the parameters of the production function (the key source of uncertainty in any long-run economic analysis). The sensitivity analysis focuses on three variables: assets of the private pension system, the income of the non-working elderly, and the balance of the Pay As You Go Pension system. 1999-02 published IR-99-004 IR-99-004 1657 83 2146 public interim_report IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 31 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book