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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/685 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/685 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/685 archive 351 disk0/00/00/06/64 2016-01-15 01:43:52 2021-08-27 17:08:31 2016-01-15 01:43:52 monograph show 2 Foell W. AL5000 pub iis_ene iis_env iis_ecl iis_mod prog_ren The primary purpose of this paper is to describe the concept and process of writing alternative energy/environmental futures (scenarios) for the three regions considered in the IIASA research program on Management of Energy/Environment Systems. The paper describes 1) the objective of the writing of the alternative futures, 2) the basis of the organization, 3) the procedures by which components of the futures are chosen and structured, 4) a format for presentation of the results, and 5) a possible procedure by which they can be embedded into a decision or policy framework in a useful and constructive manner. Although the three regions for which the alternative futures have been written are very different in their socio-economic, geographic, and technological nature or structure, an attempt has been made to apply a consistent approach for choosing and writing alternative futures. This paper is meant to provide that framework as a prelude to the actual description of the futures in a subsequent report. It describes only one component of the overall research process of the Energy/Environment study. 1976-04 published RM-76-020 RM-76-020 2559 public research_memorandum IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 37 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book