A Post Mortem Technology Assessment of the Spinning Wheel: The Last Thousand Years

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/761 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/761 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/761 archive 351 disk0/00/00/07/43 2016-01-15 01:44:17 2021-08-27 17:08:39 2016-01-15 01:44:17 monograph show 2 Marchetti C. 1619 A Post Mortem Technology Assessment of the Spinning Wheel: The Last Thousand Years pub iis_frc iis_mnt prog_enp Technology Assessment, as a forecasting game of the secondary and tertiary consequence of the introduction of new technologies, has enjoyed considerable popularity in the last decade, perhaps because it is a convenient tool to qualify bad conscience toward technological innovation. In long-range forecasting, however, technology assessment has strong limits. They are described here by the example of the spinning wheel, a supremely modest implement which has had a major influence upon the history of Western countries. These limits may be intrinsic. Some hints are given for a strategy to define them. 1977-12 published PP-77-012 PP-77-012 10 195 public professional_paper IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 3 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book