Simulating Future Global Deforestation Using Geographically Explicit Mode

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/5180 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/5180 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/5180 archive 351 disk0/00/00/78/25 2016-01-15 02:18:56 2021-08-27 17:19:21 2016-01-15 02:18:56 monograph show 2 Witmer F. 8129 Simulating Future Global Deforestation Using Geographically Explicit Mode pub iis_for iis_mod prog_for prog_ysp What might the spatial distribution of forests look like in 2100? Global deforestation continues to be a significant component of human activity affecting both the terrestrial and atmospheric environments. This work models the relationship between people and forests using two approaches. Initially, a brief global scale analysis of recent historical trends is conducted. The remainder of the paper then focuses on current population densities as determinants of cumulative historical deforestation. Spatially explicit models are generated and used to generate two possible scenarios of future deforestation. The results suggest that future deforestation in tropical Africa may be considerably worse than deforestation in Amazonia. 2005-03 published IR-05-010 IR-05-010 1669 public interim_report IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 31 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book