Similar title to Bun, A. & Jonas, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1269-4145 (2006). Preparatory Signal Detection for the EU-15 Member States Under EU Burden Sharing- Advanced Monitoring Including Uncertainty (1990-2003). IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-06-053