8162 16 68163 2 188394 document 68163 China's uncertain demographic present and future.pdf application/pdf f8cd783463c94774e2ec0251e3c00fe5 MD5 304287 2016-07-26 07:53:35 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8162/1/China%27s%20uncertain%20demographic%20present%20and%20future.pdf 8162 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by

China's uncertain demographic present and future.pdf

published 68177 2 188416 document 68177 lightbox.jpg image/png 31bb72da255f52bfe444abdaae1241fd MD5 36447 2016-07-26 08:03:44 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8162/2/lightbox.jpg 8162 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

lightbox.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/68163 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/68163 http://eprints.org/relation/islightboxThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/68163 68178 2 188417 document 68178 preview.jpg image/png 2b9762b7e2f497623de912aafb8d56b4 MD5 14638 2016-07-26 08:03:45 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8162/3/preview.jpg 8162 3 3 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_preview en public

preview.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/68163 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/68163 http://eprints.org/relation/ispreviewThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/68163 68179 2 188418 document 68179 medium.jpg image/png 0bfbb7a479df034ef39e33e5c499526f MD5 7441 2016-07-26 08:03:46 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8162/4/medium.jpg 8162 4 4 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_medium en public

medium.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/68163 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/68163 http://eprints.org/relation/ismediumThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/68163 68180 2 188419 document 68180 small.jpg image/png 113ecf3bcb7ce2b00737dd78e8f7ed3e MD5 1736 2016-07-26 08:03:47 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8162/5/small.jpg 8162 5 5 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_small en public

small.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/68163 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/68163 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/68163 68181 1 188420 document 68181 indexcodes.txt text/x-c++ 453d19c6b35eaa2f0569b7301ba68420 MD5 11759 2016-07-26 08:03:48 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8162/6/indexcodes.txt 8162 6 6 text/x-c++ other Generate index codes conversion from text to indexcodes en public

indexcodes.txt

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/68163 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/68163 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/68163 archive 351 disk0/00/00/81/62 2016-01-15 08:39:32 2023-08-05 05:00:43 2016-01-15 08:39:32 book_section show 1 Lutz W. 1124 0000-0001-7975-8145 Scherbov S. 7113 0000-0002-0881-1073 Cao G.-Y. 1708 Ren Q. 1857 Zheng X.-Y. AL0429 pub iis_pop prog_pop prog_for This paper applies methods of probabilistic population forecasting to assess the range of uncertainty of Chinas future population trends. Unlike previous applications of probabilistic population projections that consider stochastic future fertility, mortality and migration, this paper will also account for the significant uncertainty of Chinas current fertility level (with published figures ranging from 1.2 to 2.3) and the related uncertainties about the sex ratio at birth (with estimates from 1.06 to above 1.2) and the size of the youngest cohorts in the 2000 census. The model applied in this paper will be based on assumed uncertainty ranges for current conditions, in addition to the probabilistic treatment of future trends. Given the sheer size of Chinas population, these significant uncertainties about current conditions are of high importance not only for the future population of China but also for considerations on a global scale. 2007-12 published Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften 10.1553/populationyearbook2007s37 XJ-07-062 Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2007; 5:37-59 (2007) (Published online 11 December 2007) [doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2007s37] 190 270 51 2331 2544 public Vienna Yearbook of Population Research Vienna, Austria 37-59 TRUE 1728-5305 Vienna Yearbook of Population Research http://www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/yearbook pub FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/bookPart