8462 11 58759 2 164870 document 58759 RP-07-004.pdf application/pdf 8520782dd4dc1e4f482b756efa64fd0d MD5 9933188 2016-06-01 08:30:47 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8462/1/RP-07-004.pdf 8462 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by

RP-07-004.pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/58759 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/58759 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/58759 archive 351 disk0/00/00/84/62 2016-01-15 08:40:44 2021-08-27 17:20:15 2016-01-15 08:40:44 monograph show 2 Jiang L. AL0176 O'Neill B.C. 7542 pub iis_pop prog_pcc We use a household projection model to construct future scenarios for the United States designed to reflect a wide but plausible range of outcomes, including a new set of scenarios for union formation and dissolution rates based on past trends, experience in other countries, and current theory. The period covered is from 2000 to 2100. We find that the percentage of people living in households headed by the elderly may climb from 11 percent in 2000 to 20 -31 percent in 2050 and 20 -39 percent in 2100, while the average size of households could plausibly be as low as 2.0 or as high as 3.1 by the second half of the century. We assess the sensitivity of household size and structure to various demographic events, and show that outcomes are most sensitive to changes in fertility rates and rates of union formation and dissolution. They are less sensitive to the timing of marriage and childbearing and to changes in life expectancy. 2007-10 published RP-07-004. Reprinted from Population and Development Review, 33(3)567-591 [2007]. RP-07-004 Reprinted from Population and Development Review; 33(3)567-591 [2007] 1985 1492 public research_reprint Population and Development Review 33 3 IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 27 TRUE FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book