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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13207 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13207 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13207 archive 351 disk0/00/00/87/50 2016-01-15 08:41:37 2023-08-05 05:00:47 2016-01-15 08:41:37 monograph show 3 K.C. S. 1808 Barakat B. 8377 Goujon A. 1569 0000-0003-4125-6857 Skirbekk V. 7986 Lutz W. 1124 0000-0001-7975-8145 pub iis_pop prog_pop Using demographic multi-state methods, this paper presents projections for the population of 120 countries (covering 93 percent of the world population in 2000) by age, sex and level of educational attainment for the years 2000 to 2050. The dataset produced gives the full educational attainment distributions for four categories (no education, primary, secondary and tertiary education) by five-year age groups, with definitions that are consistent with a previous reconstruction of educational attainment for the years 1970 to 2000. Based on empirical distributions of educational attainment by age and sex for the year 2000, the method moves along cohort lines while taking into account differentials in fertility and mortality by education level. The most extensive in time and geographical coverage to date, to our knowledge this work represents the first attempt to project future educational attainment trends based on a statistical model of historical international attainment growth. The resulting dataset provides valuable insights both on the feasibility of international education targets and on their implications for human capital and population size and age structure. 2008-12 published IR-08-038 IR-08-038 140 24 110 1575 190 public interim_report IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 56 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book