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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13222 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13222 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13222 archive 351 disk0/00/00/87/65 2016-01-15 08:41:42 2021-08-27 17:20:34 2016-01-15 08:41:42 monograph show 2 Pivovarchuk D. 8348 pub iis_cli prog_apd prog_dyn prog_ggi A crucial problem in climate policy decision making is to design mitigation strategies consistent with specified long{term stabilization targets. However due to a deep uncertainty in our understanding of climatic system functioning, it is often impossible to elaborate abatement actions over a long period of time. Therefore the usual policy way is to design actions for a short{term time period only, taking into account current possibilities and information, but keeping the possibility to meet a given long-term target. In this paper we propose a methodological framework based on control theory to tackle the consistency issue comprehensively. Our approach consists of two stages. On the first stage we identify a [consistency] set of all possible short-term states that keep the possibility to meet a given long-term target and on the second stage we assess the 'cost' of achieving a long-term target for every short-term state in the consistency set. To illustrate the approach we run the calculations for the DICE-94 model of the economics of global warming. 2008-08 published IR-08-017 IR-08-017 1509 public interim_report IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 29 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book