8811 8 13240 1 22051 document 13240 XJ-09-107.pdf application/pdf f03aca10f8e2852b97df562873e5b73c MD5 2969537 2016-01-15 08:41:55 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8811/1/XJ-09-107.pdf 8811 1 1 text en public

XJ-09-107.pdf

16233 2 27963 document 16233 lightbox.jpg image/png 6281165e2f824398c9b218ff6f00ed49 MD5 35251 2016-01-15 11:24:25 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8811/2/lightbox.jpg 8811 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13240 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13240 http://eprints.org/relation/islightboxThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13240 16234 2 27964 document 16234 preview.jpg image/png 1d08e6123fd481c534eec9732a2b66b3 MD5 14702 2016-01-15 11:24:26 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8811/3/preview.jpg 8811 3 3 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_preview en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13240 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13240 http://eprints.org/relation/ispreviewThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13240 16235 2 27965 document 16235 medium.jpg image/png 25d91119128eafd49bacdd674907e53d MD5 5248 2016-01-15 11:24:26 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8811/4/medium.jpg 8811 4 4 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_medium en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13240 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13240 http://eprints.org/relation/ismediumThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13240 16236 2 27966 document 16236 small.jpg image/png ad363d39fbcfd299e727dd8de79a4fd9 MD5 1758 2016-01-15 11:24:27 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8811/5/small.jpg 8811 5 5 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_small en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13240 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13240 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13240 archive 351 disk0/00/00/88/11 2016-01-15 08:41:55 2023-08-05 05:00:48 2016-01-15 08:41:55 article show 1 Ren Q. 1857 Zheng X. Lutz W. 1124 0000-0001-7975-8145 Scherbov S. 7113 0000-0002-0881-1073 pub iis_pop prog_pop Uncertainty; Demographic trend; Demographic probability forecast This paper systematically analyzes the uncertainties of major demographic indicators from China's 2000 census, such as fertility, gender ratio at birth, and age structure, and through a probability demographic forecast gives an assessment of the situation facing the country. Research outcomes suggest that great differences exist in the estimate of China's fertility, gender ratio at birth and low-age child population. These differences directly affect China's current and future demographic uncertainties, and have implications for policy and future research. The demographic uncertainties caused by current conditions are of great value to decision-makers and the public alike. 2009-06 published XJ-09-107 China Economist; 3:92-103 (May-June 2009) 2331 190 270 public China Economist 3 92-103 TRUE 1673-8837 http://en.cnki.com.cn/Article_en/CJFDTOTAL-CEJI200903012.htm pub FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/article