9192 15 61570 3 169242 document 61570 Global demographic trends and future carbon emissions.pdf application/pdf 75a195c72b0dc7836177eb4d681b0fbc MD5 580235 2016-06-09 14:43:00 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/9192/1/Global%20demographic%20trends%20and%20future%20carbon%20emissions.pdf 9192 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by_nc

Global demographic trends and future carbon emissions.pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/61570 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/61570 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/61570 archive 351 disk0/00/00/91/92 2016-01-15 08:43:48 2021-08-27 17:21:13 2016-01-15 08:43:48 article show O'Neill B.C. 7542 Dalton M. Fuchs R. AL0123 Jiang L. AL0176 Pachauri S. 1816 0000-0001-8138-3178 Zigova K. AL1411 pub iis_env iis_pop prog_ene prog_pop prog_pcc climate change; energy; integrated assessment; population; households Substantial changes in population size, age structure, and urbanization are expected in many parts of the world this century. Although such changes can affect energy use and greenhouse gas emissions, emissions scenario analyses have either left them out or treated them in a fragmentary or overly simplified manner. We carry out a comprehensive assessment of the implications of demographic change for global emissions of carbon dioxide. Using an energy-economic growth model that accounts for a range of demographic dynamics, we show that slowing population growth could provide 16-29% of the emissions reductions suggested to be necessary by 2050 to avoid dangerous climate change. We also find that aging and urbanization can substantially influence emissions in particular world regions. 2010-10 published National Academy of Sciences 10.1073/pnas.1004581107 XJ-10-122 PNAS; 107(41):17521-17526 (12 October 2010) (Published online 12 October 2010) [doi:10.1073/pnas.1004581107] 1492 1889 1985 222 2549 public Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107 41 17521-17526 TRUE 1091-6490 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/article