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    <title>Empirical confirmation of creative destruction from world trade data</title>
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    <keywords>Data base; Dynamics; Economic development; Financial management; Growth curve; Socioeconomics; Statistical model; Validation process; World Trade Flows database</keywords>
    <abstract>We show that world trade network datasets contain empirical evidence that the dynamics of innovation in the world economy indeed follows the concept of &quot;creative destruction,&quot; as proposed by J.A. Schumpeter more than half a century ago. National economies can be viewed as complex, evolving systems, driven by a stream of appearance and disappearance of goods and services. Products appear in bursts of creative cascades. We find that products systematically tend to co-appear, and that product  appearances lead to massive disappearance events of existing products in the following years. The opposite-disappearances followed by periods of appearances-is not observed. This is an empirical validation of the dominance of cascading competitive replacement events on the scale of  national economies, i.e., creative destruction. We find a tendency that more complex products drive out less complex ones, i.e., progress has a direction. Finally we show that the growth trajectory of a country&apos;s product output diversity can be understood by a recently proposed evolutionary model of Schumpeterian economic dynamics.</abstract>
    <date>2012-06-18</date>
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    <iiasa_bibref>PLoS ONE; 7(6):e38924 (18 June 2012)</iiasa_bibref>
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