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Mathison, C., Burke, E.J., Munday, G., Jones, C.D., Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Steinert, N.J., Wiltshire, A.J., Huntingford, C., Kovacs, E., Gohar, L.K., Varney, R.M. & McNeall, D.
(2025).
A rapid-application emissions-to-impacts tool for scenario assessment: Probabilistic Regional Impacts from Model patterns and Emissions (PRIME).
Geoscientific Model Development 18 (5), 1785-1808. 10.5194/gmd-18-1785-2025.
Sanderson, B.M., Booth, B.B.B., Dunne, J., Eyring, V., Fisher, R.A., Friedlingstein, P., Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Hajima, T., Jones, C.D., Jones, C., King, A., Koven, C.D., Lawrence, D.M., Lowe, J., Mengis, N., Peters, G.P., Rogelj, J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Smith, C., Snyder, A.C., Simpson, I.R. et al.
(2024).
The need for carbon emissions-driven climate projections in CMIP7.
Geoscientific Model Development 17 (22), 8141-8172. 10.5194/gmd-17-8141-2024.
Jones, C.G., Adloff, F., Booth, B.B.B., Cox, P.M., Eyring, V., Friedlingstein, P., Frieler, K., Hewitt, H.T., Jeffery, H.A., Joussaume, S., Koenigk, T., Lawrence, B.N., O'Rourke, E., Roberts, M.J., Sanderson, B.M., Séférian, R., Somot, S., Vidale, P.L., van Vuuren, D., Acosta, M. et al. (2024). Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy. Earth System Dynamics 15 (5), 1319-1351. 10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024.
MacDougall, A.H., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Jones, C.D., Liddicoat, S.K. & Grassi, G.
(2024).
Detecting climate milestones on the path to climate stabilization.
Environmental Research Letters 19 (7), e074065. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad5ab1.
Cox, P.M., Williamson, M.S., Friedlingstein, P., Jones, C.D., Raoult, N., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 & Varney, R.M.
(2024).
Emergent constraints on carbon budgets as a function of global warming.
Nature Communications 15 (1), e1885. 10.1038/s41467-024-46137-7.
Zickfeld, K., MacIsaac, A.J., Canadell, J.G., Fuss, S., Jackson, R.B., Jones, C.D., Lohila, A., Matthews, H.D., Peters, G.P., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 & Zaehle, S.
(2023).
Net-zero approaches must consider Earth system impacts to achieve climate goals.
Nature Climate Change 13 (12), 1298-1305. 10.1038/s41558-023-01862-7.
Jones, C.D., Ziehn, T., Anand, J., Bastos, A., Burke, E., Canadell, J.G., Cardoso, M., Ernst, Y., Jain, A.K., Jeong, S., Keller, E.D., Kondo, M., Lauerwald, R., Lin, T.‐S., Murray‐Tortarolo, G., Nabuurs, G.‐J., O’Sullivan, M., Poulter, B., Qin, X., von Randow, C. et al. (2023). RECCAP2 Future Component: Consistency and Potential for Regional Assessment to Constrain Global Projections. AGU Advances 4 (6), e2023AV001024. 10.1029/2023AV001024.
Franke, J.A., Müller, C., Minoli, S., Elliott, J., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Gardner, C., Hank, T., Izaurralde, R.C., Jägermeyr, J., Jones, C.D., Liu, W., Olin, S., Pugh, T.A.M., Ruane, A.C., Stephens, H., Zabel, F. & Moyer, E.J.
(2021).
Agricultural breadbaskets shift poleward given adaptive farmer behavior under climate change.
Global Change Biology 28, 167-181. 10.1111/gcb.15868.
Lamboll, R.D., Jones, C.D., Skeie, R.B., Fiedler, S., Samset, B.H., Gillett, N.P., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 & Forster, P.M.
(2021).
Modifying emissions scenario projections to account for the effects of COVID-19: protocol for CovidMIP.
Geoscientific Model Development 14 (6), 3683-3695. 10.5194/gmd-14-3683-2021.
Jones, C.D., Hickman, J.E., Rumbold, S.T., Walton, J., Lamboll, R.D., Skeie, R.B., Fiedler, S., Forster, P.M., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Abe, M., Botzet, M., Calvin, K., Cassou, C., Cole, J., Davini, P., Deushi, M., Dix, M., Fyfe, J., Gillett, N., Ilyina, T. et al.
(2021).
The Climate Response to Emissions Reductions Due to COVID‐19: Initial Results From CovidMIP.
Geophysical Research Letters 48 (8), e2020GL091883. 10.1029/2020GL091883.
Forster, P.M., Forster, H.I., Evans, M.J., Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Jones, C.D., Keller, C.A., Lamboll, R.D., Quéré, C.L., Rogelj, J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Rosen, D, Schleussner, C-F, Richardson, T.B., Smith, C.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633 & Turnock, S.T.
(2020).
Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19.
Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-020-0883-0.
MacDougall, A.H., Frölicher, T.L., Jones, C.D., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Matthews, H. D., Zickfeld, K., Arora, V.K., Barrett, N.J., Brovkin, V., Burger, F.A., Eby, M., Eliseev, A.V., Hajima, T., Holden, P.B., Jeltsch-Thömmes, A., Koven, C., Mengis, N., Menviel, L., Michou, M., Mokhov, I.I. et al.
(2020).
Is there warming in the pipeline? A multi-model analysis of the Zero Emissions Commitment from CO2.
Biogeosciences 17 (11), 2987-3016. 10.5194/bg-17-2987-2020.
Matthews, H.D., Tokarska, K.B., Nicholls, Z.R.J., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Canadell, J.G., Friedlingstein, P., Frölicher, T.L., Forster, P.M., Gillett, N.P., Ilyina, T., Jackson, R.B., Jones, C.D., Koven, C., Knutti, R., MacDougall, A.H., Meinshausen, M., Mengis, N., Séférian, R. & Zickfeld, K.
(2020).
Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy.
Nature Geoscience 13 (12), 769-779. 10.1038/s41561-020-00663-3.
Jones, C.D., Frölicher, T.L., Koven, C., MacDougall, A.H., Matthews, H.D., Zickfeld, K., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Tokarska, K.B., Gillett, N.P., Ilyina, T., Meinshausen, M., Mengis, N., Séférian, R., Eby, M. & Burger, F.A.
(2019).
The Zero Emissions Commitment Model Intercomparison Project (ZECMIP) contribution to C4MIP: quantifying committed climate changes following zero carbon emissions.
Geoscientific Model Development 12 (10), 4375-4385. 10.5194/gmd-12-4375-2019.
Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Elliott, J., Müller, C., Balkovič, J., Chryssanthacopoulos, J., Izaurralde, R.C., Jones, C.D., Khabarov, N.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Liu, W., Reddy, A., Schmid, E., Skalsky, R.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0983-6897, Yang, H., Arneth, A., Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Lawrence, P.J., Olin, S., Pugh, T.A.M., Ruane, A.C. et al.
(2019).
Parameterization-induced uncertainties and impacts of crop management harmonization in a global gridded crop model ensemble.
PLoS ONE 14 (9), e0221862. 10.1371/journal.pone.0221862.
Müller, C., Elliott, J., Kelly, D., Arneth, A., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Folberth, C.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Hoek, S., Izaurralde, R.C., Jones, C.D., Khabarov, N.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Lawrence, P., Liu, W., Olin, S., Pugh, T.A.M., Reddy, A., Rosenzweig, C., Ruane, A.C., Sakurai, G. et al.
(2019).
The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison phase 1 simulation dataset.
Scientific Data 6 (1), e50. 10.1038/s41597-019-0023-8.
Liu, B., Martre, P., Ewert, F., Porter, J.R., Challinor, A.J., Müller, C., Ruane, A.C., Waha, K., Thorburn, P.J., Aggarwal, P.K., Ahmed, M., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Basso, B., Biernath, C., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D., De Sanctis, G., Dumont, B., Espadafor, M., Eyshi Rezaei, E. et al.
(2019).
Global wheat production with 1.5 and 2.0°C above pre‐industrial warming.
Global Change Biology 25 (4), 1428-1444. 10.1111/gcb.14542.
Müller, C., Elliott, J., Pugh, T.A.M., Ruane, A.C., Ciais, P., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Deryng, D., Folberth, C.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Izaurralde, R.C., Jones, C.D., Khabarov, N.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Lawrence, P., Liu, W., Reddy, A.D., Schmid, E. & Wang, X.
(2018).
Global patterns of crop yield stability under additional nutrient and water inputs.
PLoS ONE 13 (6), e0198748. 10.1371/journal.pone.0198748.
Porwollik, V., Müller, C., Elliott, J., Chryssanthacopoulos, J., Iizumi, T., Ray, D.K., Ruane, A.C., Arneth, A., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Folberth, C.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Izaurralde, R.C., Jones, C.D., Khabarov, N.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Lawrence, P.J., Liu, W., Pugh, T.A.M., Reddy, A., Sakurai, G. et al.
(2017).
Spatial and temporal uncertainty of crop yield aggregations.
European Journal of Agronomy 88, 10-21. 10.1016/j.eja.2016.08.006.
Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Elliott, J., Müller, C., Balkovic, J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Chryssanthacopoulos, J., Izaurralde, R.C., Jones, C.D., Khabarov, N.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Liu, W., Reddy, A., Schmid, E., Skalsky, R.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0983-6897, Yang, H., Arneth, A., Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Lawrence, P.J., Olin, S., Pugh, T.A.M., Ruane, A.C. et al.
(2016).
Uncertainties in global crop model frameworks: effects of cultivar distribution, crop management and soil handling on crop yield estimates.
Biogeosciences Discussions, 1-30. 10.5194/bg-2016-527.
(Submitted)
Liu, B., Asseng, S., Müller, C., Ewert, F., Elliott, J., Lobell, D.B., Martre, P., Ruane, A.C., Wallach, D., Jones, J.W., Rosenzweig, C., Aggarwal, P.K., Alderman, P.D., Anothai, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A., Deryng, D., Sanctis, G. et al. (2016). Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat yield by three independent methods. Nature Climate Change 6 (12), 1130-1136. 10.1038/nclimate3115.
Fuß, S., Jones, C.D., Kraxner, F., Peters, G.P., Smith, P., Tavoni, M., van Vuuren, D.P., Canadell, J.G., Jackson, R.B., Milne, J., Moreira, J.R., Nakicenovic, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7176-4604, Sharifi, A. & Yamagata, Y.
(2016).
Research priorities for negative emissions.
Environmental Research Letters 11 (11), p. 115007. 10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/115007.
Jones, C.D., Ciais, P., Davis, S.J., Friedlingstein, P., Gasser, T., Peters, G.P., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, van Vuuren, D.P., Canadell, J.G., Cowie, A., Jackson, R.B., Jonas, M.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1269-4145, Kriegler, E., Littleton, E., Lowe, J.A., Milne, J., Shrestha, G., Smith, P., Torvanger, A. & Wiltshire, A.
(2016).
Simulating the Earth system response to negative emissions.
Environmental Research Letters 11 (9), e095012. 10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/095012.
Fuss, S., Canadell, J.G., Peters, G.P., Tavoni, M., Andrew, R.M., Ciais, P., Jackson, R.B., Jones, C.D., Kraxner, F., Nakicenovic, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7176-4604, Le Quere, C., Raupach, M.R., Sharifi, A., Smith, P. & Yamagata, Y.
(2014).
Betting on negative emissions.
Nature Climate Change 4 (10), 850-853. 10.1038/nclimate2392.