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McKenna, C.M., Maycock, A.C., Forster, P.M., Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633 & Tokarska, K.B. (2021). Stringent mitigation substantially reduces risk of unprecedented near-term warming rates. Nature Climate Change 11 (12), 126-131. 10.1038/s41558-020-00957-9.

Damon Matthews, H., Tokarska, K.B., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, MacDougall, A.H., Haustein, K., Mengis, N., Sippel, S., Forster, P.M. & Knutti, R. (2021). An integrated approach to quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget. Communications Earth & Environment 2 (1), e7. 10.1038/s43247-020-00064-9.

Tokarska, K.B., Arora, V.K., Gillett, N.P., Lehner, F., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Schleussner, C.-F., Séférian, R. & Knutti, R. (2020). Uncertainty in carbon budget estimates due to internal climate variability. Environmental Research Letters 15 (10), e104064. 10.1088/1748-9326/abaf1b.

Matthews, H.D., Tokarska, K.B., Nicholls, Z.R.J., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Canadell, J.G., Friedlingstein, P., Frölicher, T.L., Forster, P.M., Gillett, N.P., Ilyina, T., Jackson, R.B., Jones, C.D., Koven, C., Knutti, R., MacDougall, A.H., Meinshausen, M., Mengis, N., Séférian, R. & Zickfeld, K. (2020). Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy. Nature Geoscience 13 (12), 769-779. 10.1038/s41561-020-00663-3.

Tokarska, K.B., Zickfeld, K. & Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 (2019). Path Independence of Carbon Budgets When Meeting a Stringent Global Mean Temperature Target After an Overshoot. Earth's Future 7 (12), 1283-1295. 10.1029/2019EF001312.

Tokarska, K.B., Schleussner, C.-F., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Stolpe, M.B., Matthews, H.D., Pfleiderer, P. & Gillett, N.P. (2019). Recommended temperature metrics for carbon budget estimates, model evaluation and climate policy. Nature Geoscience 12 (12), 964-971. 10.1038/s41561-019-0493-5.

Jones, C.D., Frölicher, T.L., Koven, C., MacDougall, A.H., Matthews, H.D., Zickfeld, K., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Tokarska, K.B., Gillett, N.P., Ilyina, T., Meinshausen, M., Mengis, N., Séférian, R., Eby, M. & Burger, F.A. (2019). The Zero Emissions Commitment Model Intercomparison Project (ZECMIP) contribution to C4MIP: quantifying committed climate changes following zero carbon emissions. Geoscientific Model Development 12 (10), 4375-4385. 10.5194/gmd-12-4375-2019.