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den Elzen, M.G.J., Dafnomilis, I., Nascimento, L., Beusen, A., Forsell, N., Gubbels, J., Harmsen, M., Hooijschuur, E., Araujo Gutierrez, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2228-7079 & Kuramochi, T. (2025). Uncertainties around net‐zero climate targets have major impact on greenhouse gas emissions projections. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1544, 209-222. 10.1111/nyas.15285.

Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Fransen, T., den Elzen, M.G.J., Lamboll, R.D., Schumer, C., Kuramochi, T., Hans, F., Moldijk, S. & Portugal-Pereira, J. (2023). Credibility gap in net-zero climate targets leaves world at high risk. Science 380 (6649), 1014-1016. 10.1126/science.adg6428.

den Elzen, M.G.J., Dafnomilis, I., Forsell, N., Fragkos, P., Fragkiadakis, K., Höhne, N., Kuramochi, T., Nascimento, L., Roelfsema, M., van Soest, H. & Sperling, F. (2022). Updated nationally determined contributions collectively raise ambition levels but need strengthening further to keep Paris goals within reach. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 27 (6), e33. 10.1007/s11027-022-10008-7.

van den Berg, N.J., van Soest, H.L., Hof, A.F., den Elzen, M.G.J., van Vuuren, D.P., Chen, W., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Fujimori, S., Höhne, N., Kõberle, A.C., McCollum, D., Schaeffer, R., Shekhar, S., Vishwanathan, S., Vrontisi, Z. & Blok, K. (2019). Implications of various effort-sharing approaches for national carbon budgets and emission pathways. Climatic Change, 1-18. 10.1007/s10584-019-02368-y.

van Soest, H.L., de Boer, H.S, Roelfsema, M., den Elzen, M.G.J., Admiraal, A., van Vuuren, D.P., Hof, A.F., van den Berg, M., Harmsen, M.J.H.M., Gernaat, D.E.H.J. & Forsell, N. (2017). Early action on Paris Agreement allows for more time to change energy systems. Climatic Change 144 (2), 165-179. 10.1007/s10584-017-2027-8.

van Soest, H.L., Aleluia Reis, L., Drouet, L., van Vuuren, D.P., den Elzen, M.G.J., Tavoni, M., Akimoto, K., Calvin, K.V., Fragkos, P., Kitous, A., Luderer, G. & Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 (2017). Low-emission pathways in 11 major economies: comparison of cost-optimal pathways and Paris climate proposals. Climatic Change 142 (3-4), 491-504. 10.1007/s10584-017-1964-6.

Other

den Elzen, M.G.J., Roelfsema, M., Hof, A., Böttcher, H. & Grassi, G. (2012). Analysing the Emission Gap Between Pledged Emission Reductions Under the Cancun Agreements and the 2 Degree-C Climate Target. Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency , The Netherlands.