Items where Research Program is "Exploratory Modeling of Human-natural Systems (EM)" and Year is 2025

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Number of items: 56.

Article

Adiwira, H., Yasunaka, S., Kass, J., Açıkbaş, A., Adiningsih, S., Gairin, E., Ilham, H., Lahcene, E., Li, Y., Nishihira, G., Peñalver-Pereira, P., Sie, F., Amedo-Repollo, C., Ames, C., Armitage, D., Brännström, A., Dieckmann, U. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7089-0393, Fujii, T., Husnik, F., Kawamiya, M. et al. (2025). Pathways to an integrated understanding of marine environments and ecosystems in the Asia-Pacific Region. Frontiers in Marine Science 12 10.3389/fmars.2025.1680145.

Bera, B.K., Tzuk, O., Bennett, J.J.R., Dieckmann, U. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7089-0393 & Meron, E. (2025). Can spatial self-organization inhibit evolutionary adaptation? Journal of The Royal Society Interface 22 (222), e20240454. 10.1098/rsif.2024.0454.

Bossy, T., Ciais, P., Tanaka, K., Lecocq, F., Bousquet, P. & Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647 (2025). Spaces of anthropogenic CO2 emissions compatible with climate boundaries. Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-025-02460-5.

Chen, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8295-7444, Purohit, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7265-6960, Bai, F., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, He, Y., Höglund-Isaksson, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7514-3135, Jiang, P., Wu, J. & Hi, J. (2025). Sustainable Management of Banked Fluorocarbons as a Cost-Effective Climate Action. Environmental Science & Technology 10.1021/acs.est.5c02575. (In Press)

Deng, Z., Zhu, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9360-6797, Davis, S.J., Ciais, P., Guan, D., Gong, P. & Liu, Z. (2025). Global carbon emissions and decarbonization in 2024. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment 6 (4), 231-233. 10.1038/s43017-025-00658-x.

Fernández-Martínez, M., Janssens, I.A., Obersteiner, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769, Manning, P., Andrade, F.M., Rodríguez-Penedo, E. & Peñuelas, J. (2025). Temporal complexity of terrestrial ecosystem functioning and its drivers. Nature Communications 16, e7725. 10.1038/s41467-025-63246-z.

Fierro, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4378-1375 & Martinoli, M. (2025). An empirical inquiry into the distributional consequences of energy price shocks. Journal of International Money and Finance 159, e103421. 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103421.

Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Baklanov, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1599-3618, Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Oberleitner, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1684-5150, Balkovič, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931 & Skalský, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0983-6897 (2025). CROMES v1.0: a flexible CROp Model Emulator Suite for climate impact assessment. Geoscientific Model Development 18 (17), 5759-5779. 10.5194/gmd-18-5759-2025.

Forster, P. M., Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Walsh, Tristram, Lamb, W.F., Lamboll, R., Cassou, C., Hauser, M., Hausfather, Z., Lee, J.-Y., Palmer, M.D., von Schuckmann, K., Slangen, A.B.A., Szopa, S., Trewin, B., Yun, J., Gillett, N.P., Jenkins, S., Matthews, H.D., Raghavan, K., Ribes, A. et al. (2025). Indicators of Global Climate Change 2024: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence. Earth System Science Data 17 (6), 2641-2680. 10.5194/essd-2025-250.

Friedlingstein, P., Le Quéré, C., O’Sullivan, M., Hauck, J., Landschützer, P., Luijkx, I.T., Li, H., van der Woude, A., Schwingshackl, C., Pongratz, J., Regnier, P., Andrew, R.M., Bakker, D.C.E., Canadell, J.G., Ciais, P., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Jones, M.W., Lan, X., Morgan, E., Olsen, A. et al. (2025). Emerging climate impact on carbon sinks in a consolidated carbon budget. Nature 10.1038/s41586-025-09802-5.

Friedlingstein, P., O'Sullivan, M., Jones, M.W., Andrew, R.M., Bakker, D.C.E., Hauck, J., Landschützer, P., Le Quéré, C., Li, H., Luijkx, I.T., Peters, G.P., Peters, W., Pongratz, J., Schwingshackl, C., Sitch, S., Canadell, J.G., Ciais, P., Aas, K., Alin, S.R., Anthoni, P. et al. (2025). Global Carbon Budget 2025. Earth System Science Data Discussions 2025, 1-139. 10.5194/essd-2025-659. (In Press)

Friedlingstein, P., O'Sullivan, M., Jones, M.W., Andrew, R.M., Hauck, J., Landschützer, P., Le Quéré, C., Li, H., Luijkx, I. T., Olsen, A., Peters, G. P., Peters, W., Pongratz, J., Schwingshackl, C., Sitch, S., Canadell, J.G., Ciais, P., Jackson, R.B., Alin, S.R., Arneth, A. et al. (2025). Global Carbon Budget 2024. Earth System Science Data Discussions 17 (3), 965-1039. 10.18160/GCP-2024.

Groner, V.P., Cook, J., Orme, C.D.L., Amarasekare, P., Comyn-Platt, E., Rallings, T., Joshi, J. & Ewers, R.M. (2025). Harmonizing nature’s timescales in ecosystem models. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 10.1016/j.tree.2025.03.011. (In Press)

Hochrainer-Stigler, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9929-8171, Mechler, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2239-1578, Higuera-Roa, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7008-2257, Bachmann, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0007-8974-1241, Šakić Trogrlić, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6627-873X, Handmer, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6674-7946 & Dieckmann, U. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7089-0393 (2025). Understanding multiple resilience dividends and system boundaries in disaster- and climate-risk management: a systems approach for enhanced decision-making. Environmental Research Letters 20 (4), e044026. 10.1088/1748-9326/adac7a.

Huang, W., Miao, Y., Ye, H. & Li, W. (2025). Trends and determinants of energy intensity in China: A study using index decomposition and econometric analysis. Environmental and Sustainability Indicators 28, e100892. 10.1016/j.indic.2025.100892.

Huang, W., Ye, H., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Chen, J. & Yu, Y.Y. (2025). Decoupling carbon emissions, economic growth, and health costs toward carbon neutrality in China's regions. Energy for Sustainable Development 88, e101789. 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101789.

Huang, Y., Dieckmann, U. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7089-0393 & Heino, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2928-3940 (2025). Socio-economic status and occupational mobility of China’s Fishery Population: A quantitative analysis based on social-survey data. Fisheries Research 285, e107362. 10.1016/j.fishres.2025.107362.

Hwong, Y.L., Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742, Werning, M. & Quilcaille, Y. (2025). Sustainable development key to limiting climate change-driven wildfire damages. Environmental Research: Climate 4 (3), e035005. 10.1088/2752-5295/adec11.

Jonas, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1269-4145, Bun, R., Ryzha, I. & Żebrowski, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5283-8049 (2025). Human-induced carbon stress power upon earth: integrated data set, rheological findings and consequences. Science of the Total Environment 992, e179922. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179922.

Kremer, E., Reissl, S., Fierro, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4378-1375, Emmerling, J., Lamperti, F. & Roventini, A. (2025). Energy price shocks in the European Union: Macroeconomic impacts, distributional effects and policy responses. Energy Economics 152, e108979. 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108979.

Kyalo, P., Kungurtsev, V., Muli, E., Pietsch, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6431-2212, Mugo, K., Kaigongi, M., Muasa, M., Wafula, J., Muvela, S. & Mutua, C. (2025). Planting 10 Million Trees with Lukenya University in Kenya: Methodology and Preliminary Observations and Forecasts. bioRxiv 10.1101/2025.01.09.632148. (Submitted)

Lackner, T., Fierro, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4378-1375 & Mellacher, P. (2025). Opinion dynamics meet agent-based climate economics: An integrated analysis of carbon taxation. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 229, e106816. 10.1016/j.jebo.2024.106816.

Majee, S., Brännström, Å. & Lundstrom, N. (2025). Well-posedness of a variable-exponent telegraph equation applied to image despeckling. Evolution Equations and Control Theory 14 (6), 1412-1450. 10.3934/eect.2025039.

Mechler, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2239-1578, Żebrowski, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5283-8049, Clercq-Roques, R., Patil, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7966-2546 & Hochrainer-Stigler, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9929-8171 (2025). Positive Externalities in the Polycrisis: Effectively Addressing Disaster and Climate Risks for Generating Multiple Resilience Dividends. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 10.1007/s13753-025-00661-2. (In Press)

Orduña-Cabrera, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8558-0053, Rios Ochoa, J.A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0007-0339-1587, Frank, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9016-701X, Lindner, S., Sandoval-Gastelum, M., Obersteiner, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769 & Javalera Rincón, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8743-9777 (2025). Short-Term Forecasting Arabica Coffee Cherry Yields by Seq2Seq over LSTM for Smallholder Farmers. Sustainability 17 (9), p. 3888. 10.3390/su17093888.

Peichel, C.L., Bolnick, D.I., Brännström, Å., Dieckmann, U. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7089-0393 & Safran, R.J. (2025). Speciation. Cold Spring Harbor Perspectives in Biology, a041735. 10.1101/cshperspect.a041735.

Quilcaille, Y., Gudmundsson, L., Schumacher, D.L., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Heede, R., Heri, C., Lejeune, Q., Nath, S., Naveau, P., Thiery, W., Schleussner, C.-F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8471-848X & Seneviratne, S.I. (2025). Systematic attribution of heatwaves to the emissions of carbon majors. Nature 645 (8080), 392-398. 10.1038/s41586-025-09450-9.

Reissl, S., Fierro, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4378-1375, Lamperti, F. & Roventini, A. (2025). The DSK stock-flow consistent agent-based integrated assessment model. Ecological Economics 236, e108641. 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108641.

Rovenskaya, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2761-3443, Ivanov, A., Hathiari, S., Kotova, D., Scharler, U.M. & Boza, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6453-8254 (2025). An ecological perspective to master the complexities of the digital economy. npj Complexity 2 (1), e16. 10.1038/s44260-025-00036-0.

Schlumberger, J., Warren, A., Daloz, A.S., Geurts, D., Hochrainer, S., Ma, L., Padrón-Fumero, N., Reiter, K., Šakić Trogrlić, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6627-873X, Tatman, S., Banks, V.J., Crummy, J., Díaz-Pacheco, J., Antequera, P.D., García-González, S., López-Díez, A., Febles Arévalo, T.L., Romero-Manrique, D., Strelkovskii, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6862-1768, Torresan, S. et al. (2025). Developing Multi-Risk Drm Pathways – Lessons from Four European Case Studies. Climate Risk Management 50, e100753. 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100753.

Singh, S. & Verma, A.K. (2025). Topography mediated effect of canopy cover and light intensity explain trait variability among shrub species in Western Himalayan Forest ecosystem. Ecological Indicators 178, e114000. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2025.114000.

Strelkovskii, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6862-1768 & Komendantova, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2568-6179 (2025). Integration of UN sustainable development goals in national hydrogen strategies: A text analysis approach. International Journal of Hydrogen Energy 102, 1282-1294. 10.1016/j.ijhydene.2025.01.134.

Tang, G., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Jones, C., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Norton, A., Ziehn, T., Romero-Prieto, A. & Meinshausen, M. (2025). Investigating carbon and nitrogen conservation in reported CMIP6 Earth system model data. Geoscientific Model Development 18 (7), 2111-2136. 10.5194/gmd-18-2111-2025.

Verschuur, J., Vittis, Y., Obersteiner, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769 & Hall, J.W. (2025). Heterogeneities in landed costs of traded grains and oilseeds contribute to unequal access to food. Nature Food 6, 36-46. 10.1038/s43016-024-01087-7.

Vittis, Y., Obersteiner, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769, Godfray, H.C.J. & Springmann, M. (2025). Labour requirements for healthy and sustainable diets at global, regional, and national levels: a modelling study. The Lancet Planetary Health 9 (10), e101342. 10.1016/j.lanplh.2025.101342.

Wang, Y., Zelingher, R., Strelkovskii, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6862-1768, Song, C. & Gao, P. (2025). Maximising the benefits of sustainable development target interactions: An integrated priority analytical model applied to China. Journal of Cleaner Production 529, e146764. 10.1016/j.jclepro.2025.146764.

Xiong, Y., Yan, W., Wang, X., Luo, Y., Feng, H., Zhao, W., Zhu, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9360-6797, Ye, Z. & Li, H. (2025). Subtropical vegetation damage and recovery dynamics after the great 2008 Chinese ice storm. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 372, e110683. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110683.

Xu, D., Dieckmann, U. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7089-0393 & Heino, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2928-3940 (2025). Economically optimal management of salmon louse requires adapting to their drug-resistance rather than attempting their eradication. Aquaculture 606, e742578. 10.1016/j.aquaculture.2025.742578.

Xue, Y., Ye, H. & Wu, H. (2025). The role of green credit in energy resilience: A quasi-natural experiment from China. Journal of Environmental Management 391, p. 126490. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.126490.

Yang, J., Gao, L., Guo, Z., Dong, Y., Moallemi, E.A., Eker, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2264-132X, Liu, Q., Chi, Z., Liu, F., Obersteiner, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769 & Bryan, B.A. (2025). Integrative Sustainable Development Goal policy portfolios to accelerate global progress towards a more sustainable future: a modelling study. The Lancet Planetary Health, e101318. 10.1016/j.lanplh.2025.101318. (In Press)

Zantout, K., Balkovič, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Billing, M., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Gosling, S.N., Hank, T., Hantson, S., Iizumi, T., Ito, A., Jägermeyr, J., Jain, A.K., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Kou-Giesbrecht, S., Li, F., Li, M., Lin, T.-S., Liu, W., Müller, C., Okada, M., Ostberg, S. et al. (2025). Shifting dominant periods in extreme climate impacts under global warming. Nature Communications 16 (1), e9746. 10.1038/s41467-025-65600-7.

Zhang, S., Zhao, W., Zhu, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9360-6797, Yan, C., Song, X., Jiang, H., Fang, J., Ciais, P., Xuan, N., Gentine, P., Davis, S.J., Liu, Z. & Qiu, G.Y. (2025). A near-real time daily European Power Consumption and Carbon Intensity Dataset (ECON-PowerCI). Scientific Data 12 (1), e1693. 10.1038/s41597-025-05978-7.

Zhao, J., Zheng, B., Ciais, P., Chen, Y., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Canadell, J.G., Zhang, L. & Zhang, Q. (2025). Global warming amplifies wildfire health burden and reshapes inequality. Nature 10.1038/s41586-025-09612-9. (In Press)

Zhou, J., Li, W., Ciais, P., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Wang, J., Li, Z., Zhu, L., Han, M., He, J., Sun, M., Liu, L. & Huang, X. (2025). Contributions of countries without a carbon neutrality target to limit global warming. Nature Communications 16 (1), e468. 10.1038/s41467-024-55720-x.

Zhu, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9360-6797, Qiu, C., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Ciais, P., Lamboll, R.D., Ballantyne, A., Chang, J., Chaudhary, N., Gallego-Sala, A.V., Guenet, B., Holden, J., Joos, F., Kleinen, T., Kwon, M.J., Melnikova, I., Müller, J., Page, S., Salmon, E., Schleussner, C.-F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8471-848X, Schurgers, Guy. et al. (2025). Warming of northern peatlands increases the global temperature overshoot challenge. One Earth, p. 101353. 10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101353. (In Press)

Żebrowski, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5283-8049, Boyarshinov, G., Odintsova, A. & Rovenskaya, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2761-3443 (2025). Explaining COVID-19 dynamics through user activity data from digital platforms with Yandex’s self-isolation index as a case study. Scientific Reports 15 (1), e40709. 10.1038/s41598-025-24240-z.

Monograph

Bednar, J. & Baklanov, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1599-3618 (2025). A Reduced-Complexity Model of Process-Based IAMs. IIASA Working Paper. Laxenburg, Austria: WP-25-001

Conference or Workshop Item

Chen, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8295-7444, Purohit, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7265-6960, Bai, F., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, He, Y., Höglund-Isaksson, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7514-3135, Jiang, P. & Hu, J. (2025). Cost-effective climate benefits through fluorocarbon lifecycle management in China. DOI:10.5194/egusphere-egu25-10845. In: EGU General Assembly 2025, 27 April-02 May 2025, Vienna.

Hofhansl, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0073-0946, Singh, S., Stefaniak, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2998-5619, Maxwell, T. & Joshi, J. (2025). Simulating plant functional acclimation and trait evolution using an eco-evolutionary vegetation model (PlantFATE). DOI:10.5194/egusphere-egu25-11302. In: EGU General Assembly 2025, 27 April-02 May 2025, Vienna.

Hwong, Y.L., Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742, Werning, M. & Quilcaille, Y. (2025). Sustainable development key to limiting climate change-driven wildfire damages. In: EGU General Assembly 2025, 27 April-02 May 2025, Vienna.

Data

Frank, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9016-701X, Monjeau, A. & Bertranou, C. (2025). FABLE Calculator for Argentina. 10.5281/zenodo.14615583.

Other

Atwood, L., Vigerstøl, K., Wood, S., Karres, N., Joya Barrero, V., Lovdal, A., Fridman, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3908-3571, Kumar Sahu, R., Nkwasa, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8685-8854, Burek, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6390-8487, Catania, C., Kahil, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7812-5271, Obersteiner, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769 & Bossio, D. (2025). Archetypes for Nature-Based Adaptation: Aligning Nature-Based Solutions and Enabling Conditions to Address Water Risk in Food Producing Landscapes. The Nature Conservancy and International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Daniell, J., Schaefer, A., Khazai, B., Girard, T., Brand, J., Maier, A., Michalke, S., Blanz, B., Claassen, J., Strelkovskii, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6862-1768 & Raj, S. (2025). D5.4 Software package and user guide for multi- hazard and multi-risk scenario generation. Zenodo 10.5281/zenodo.16834214.

Gottardo, S., Ciurean, R., Daloz, A.S., Padron-Fumero, N., Šakić Trogrlić, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6627-873X, Tatman, S., Torresan, S., Casartelli, V., Critto, A., Dal Barco, M.K., Díaz- Pacheco, J., Ferrario, D.M., García González, S., Gatti, I., Geurts, D., Hochrainer-Stigler, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9929-8171, Ma, L., Marengo, A., Romero Manrique Lara, D., Mysiak, J. et al. (2025). D3.4 Final report on forward-looking DRM pathways and recommendations for upscaling and transferability. Zenodo 10.5281/zenodo.17245464.

UNDESA-UNFCCC (2025). Harnessing Climate and SDG Synergy: Quantifying the benefits. Third Global Report on Climate and SDGs Synergies. United Nations, Joint UNDESA-UNFCCC Secretariat Climate and SDG Synergy Secretariat

This list was generated on Sun Dec 7 07:52:19 2025 UTC.