Estimating Uncertainty in Household Energy Footprints

Min J & Rao N (2017). Estimating Uncertainty in Household Energy Footprints. Journal of Industrial Ecology DOI:10.1111/jiec.12670. (In Press)

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Abstract

We develop a methodology to characterize and quantify uncertainty in relating consumption to production in household energy footprints. This uncertainty arises primarily from inconsistencies between national accounts and household surveys and, to a smaller extent, from using aggregated sectors. Researchers may introduce significant inaccuracies by ignoring these inconsistencies when reporting household footprints. We apply the methodology to India and Brazil, where we find the size of this uncertainty to be higher than 20% of footprints at most income levels. We expect that previous estimates for these countries may have been overestimated due to these inconsistencies. Other knowledge gaps, such as inaccuracies in multiregional input-output tables and household surveys, add further uncertainty beyond our estimates.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: consumption-based accounting, developing countries, energy intensity, household footprint, input-output model,uncertainty
Research Programs: Energy (ENE)
Depositing User: Luke Kirwan
Date Deposited: 16 Oct 2017 06:24
Last Modified: 17 Oct 2017 06:16
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/14889

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