An Improved Method of Computing Multistate Survivorship Proportions for the Terminal Age Groups

Just P & Liaw K-L (1983). An Improved Method of Computing Multistate Survivorship Proportions for the Terminal Age Groups. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-83-065

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Abstract

The aging of populations is a phenomenon which has become an important research topic. Demographers, however, have given inadequate attention to the projection of the number of old people and their future age composition. This paper shows that the conventional method for estimating the survivorship proportions of the very old tends to produce misleading results with respect to the size and composition of the aged. Several alternatives are suggested here to overcome these problems. An empirical example is used to point out the problems of the conventional approach and to evaluate the suggested improvements.

Item Type: Monograph (IIASA Working Paper)
Research Programs: World Population (POP)
Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 01:53
Last Modified: 20 Oct 2016 02:20
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/2247

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