Botswana's Future: Modeling Population and Sustainable Development Challenges in the Era of HIV/AIDS

Sanderson WC, Hellmuth M, & Strzepek KM (2001). Botswana's Future: Modeling Population and Sustainable Development Challenges in the Era of HIV/AIDS. Executive Summary (2001)

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Abstract

One element dominates current discussions of Botswana's future, the problem of HIV/AIDS. Currently, Botswana has one of the highest HIV/AIDS prevalence rates in the world. We estimate that during the period from 1993 through 2001 there were around 130,000 deaths from HIV/AIDS. In 2001 alone, we expect that roughly 32,000 Botswana or about 2% of the country's population will die of that disease. Even with significant changes in behavior, our model shows that around 540,000 Botswana, a number equivalent to about one-third of the country's current population, will die of HIV/AIDS during the two-decade period 2002-2021.

Item Type: Other
Research Programs: World Population (POP)
Bibliographic Reference: Executive Summary (2001)
Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 02:13
Last Modified: 17 Feb 2016 12:25
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/6411

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