The emergence of sub-replacement family size ideals in Europe

Goldstein JR, Lutz W, & Testa MR (2003). The emergence of sub-replacement family size ideals in Europe. Population Research and Policy Review 22 (5): 479-496. DOI:10.1023/B:POPU.0000020962.80895.4a.

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Abstract

Period fertility started to drop significantly below replacement in most Western European countries during the 1970s and 1980s, while most fertility surveys, value studies and opinion polls have found that the number of children considered ideal for society or for one's own family has remained above two children per woman. These surveys have led to the expectation that, sooner or later, period fertility would recover in Europe. The most recent data from the Eurobarometer 2001 survey, however, suggest that in the German-speaking parts of Europe the average ideal family sizes given by younger men and women have fallen as low as 1.7 children. This paper examines the consistency and the credibility of these new findings, which - if they are indeed indications of a new trend - may alter the current discussion about future fertility trends in Europe.

Item Type: Article
Research Programs: World Population (POP)
Bibliographic Reference: Population Research and Policy Review; 22(5-6):479-496 (December 2003)
Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 02:15
Last Modified: 17 Feb 2016 12:26
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/6794

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