Risk-adjusted approaches for planning sustainable agricultural development

Fischer G, Ermolieva T, Ermoliev Y, & Sun L (2009). Risk-adjusted approaches for planning sustainable agricultural development. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 23 (4): 441-450. DOI:10.1007/s00477-008-0231-9.

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Abstract

In this paper we show that explicit treatment of risks and uncertainties in agricultural production planning may considerably alter strategies for achieving robust outcomes with regard to sustainable agricultural developments. We discuss production planning models under uncertainties and risks that may assist in planning location-specific production expansion within environmental and health risk indicators and constraints. The proposed approaches are illustrated with the example of spatially explicit livestock production allocation in China to 2030.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Agricultural production; CVaR risk measure; Downscaling; Risks; Robust decisions; Safety constraints
Research Programs: Integrated Modeling Environment (IME)
Modeling Land-Use and Land-Cover Changes (LUC)
Bibliographic Reference: Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment; 23(4):441-450 (May 2009)
Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 08:42
Last Modified: 07 Sep 2016 12:47
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/8865

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