Uncertain population dynamics and HIV/AIDS in China

Ren Q, Zheng X, Lutz W, & Scherbov S (2009). Uncertain population dynamics and HIV/AIDS in China. In: Gender Policy and HIV in China: Catalyzing Policy Change. Eds. Tucker, J., Poston, D.L., Ren, Q., Gu, B., Zheng, X. & Russell, C., Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag. ISBN 978-1-4020-9899-4 DOI:10.1007/978-1-4020-9900-7_2.

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Abstract

It is well known that China accounts for one-fifth of the population of the world, making China's population trends directly relevant for global population dynamics. In this context, it is surprising how much uncertainty exists about current demographic conditions in the world's largest country. Recently published estimates of China's total fertility rate for around the year 2000 range from 1.22 to 2.3 -- a discrepancy of 1.1 children per woman. There are more than 30 estimates of the fertility levels. Though most scholars and organizations consistently agree that fertility in China is below the replacement level, there are also scholars who believe that fertility in China falls below the lowest levels, and is at a par with fertility in some of the southern European countries

Item Type: Book Section
Research Programs: World Population (POP)
Bibliographic Reference: In: J. Tucker, D.L. Poston, Q. Ren, B. Gu, X. Zheng, C. Russell (eds); Gender Policy and HIV in China: Catalyzing Policy Change; Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg, Germany pp.9-25
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Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 08:42
Last Modified: 17 Feb 2016 12:31
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/8929

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