The world's biggest gamble

Rockström J, Schellnhuber HJ, Hoskins B, Ramanathan V, Schlosser P, Brasseur GP, Gaffney O, Nobre C, et al. (2016). The world's biggest gamble. Earth's Future 4 (10): 465-470. DOI:10.1002/2016EF000392.

Rockstr-m_et_al-2016-Earth's_Future.pdf - Published Version
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution No Derivatives.

Download (179kB) | Preview


The scale of the decarbonisation challenge to meet the Paris Agreement is underplayed in the public arena. It will require precipitous emission reductions and a new carbon sink on the scale of the ocean sink within 40 years. Even then, the world is extremely likely to overshoot. A catastrophic failure of policy, for example waiting another decade for transformative policy and full commitments to fossil-free economies, will have irreversible and deleterious repercussions for humanity's remaining time on Earth. Only a global zero carbon roadmap will put the world on a course to phase-out greenhouse gas emissions and create the essential carbon sinks for Earth-system stability, without which, world prosperity is not possible.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Climate Change; Decarbonisation; Paris Agreement; Carbon Roadmap; Carbon Budget; Earth system
Research Programs: Energy (ENE)
Depositing User: Romeo Molina
Date Deposited: 25 Aug 2016 10:10
Last Modified: 22 Jul 2019 09:14

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
Phone: (+43 2236) 807 0 Fax:(+43 2236) 71 313