Climate change scenario services: From science to facilitating action

Auer, C., Kriegler, E., Carlsen, H., Kok, K., Pedde, S., Krey, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0307-3515, & Müller, B. (2021). Climate change scenario services: From science to facilitating action. One Earth 4 (8) 1074-1082. 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.07.015.

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Abstract

The goal of limiting global warming to well below 2°C as set out in the Paris Agreement calls for a strategic assessment of societal pathways and policy strategies. Besides policy makers, new powerful actors from private sector, including finance, have stepped up to engage in forward-looking assessments of a Paris-compliant and climate-resilient future. Climate change scenarios have addressed this demand by providing scientific insights on the possible pathways ahead to limit warming in line with the Paris climate goal. Despite the increased interest, the potential of climate change scenarios has not been fully unleashed, mostly due to a lack of an intermediary service that provides guidance and access to climate change scenarios. This perspective presents the concept of a climate change scenario service, its components, and a prototypical implementation to overcome this shortcoming aiming to make scenarios accessible to a broader audience of societal actors and decision makers.

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