An Analysis of Indirect Mortality Estimation

Arthur, W.B. & Stoto, M.A. (1983). An Analysis of Indirect Mortality Estimation. IIASA Research Report (Reprint). IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-84-021. Reprinted from Population Studies, 37 [1983]

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Abstract

For some years, IIASA has placed considerable emphasis on both population studies and methods of analysis and estimation. These two strands of research are combined in this report, which develops an analytical method for the derivation of errors in estimations based on indirect data, and illustrates this method by applying it to Brass's child survivorship estimation technique.

The method described here makes it possible to study the sensitivities of estimates to the underlying assumptions, and provides algebraic expressions that are both more general and easier to interpret than computer results. These expressions give some insight into the rationale of the indirect methods, the conditions under which they are appropriate, and the possibilities of correcting the effects of inappropriate assumptions.

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