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Jägermeyr, J., Müller, C., Ruane, A.C., Elliott, J., Balkovič, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Castillo, O., Faye, B., Foster, I., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Franke, J.A., Fuchs, K., Guarin, J.R., Heinke, J., Hoogenboom, G., Iizumi, T., Jain, A.K., Kelly, D., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Lange, S., Lin, T.-S. et al. (2021). Climate impacts on global agriculture emerge earlier in new generation of climate and crop models. Nature Food 2, 873-885. 10.1038/s43016-021-00400-y.

Franke, J.A., Müller, C., Minoli, S., Elliott, J., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Gardner, C., Hank, T., Izaurralde, R.C., Jägermeyr, J., Jones, C.D., Liu, W., Olin, S., Pugh, T.A.M., Ruane, A.C., Stephens, H., Zabel, F. & Moyer, E.J. (2021). Agricultural breadbaskets shift poleward given adaptive farmer behavior under climate change. Global Change Biology 28, 167-181. 10.1111/gcb.15868.

Zabel, F., Müller, C., Elliott, J., Minoli, S., Jägermeyr, J., Schneider, J.M., Franke, J.A., Moyer, E., Dury, M., Francois, L., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Liu, W., Pugh, T.A.M., Olin, S., Rabin, S.S., Mauser, W., Hank, T., Ruane, A.C. & Asseng, S. (2021). Large potential for crop production adaptation depends on available future varieties. Global Change Biology 27 (16), 3870-3882. 10.1111/gcb.15649.

Ruane, A.C., Phillips, M., Müller, C., Elliott, J., Jägermeyr, J., Arneth, A., Balkovič, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Deryng, D., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Iizumi, T., Izaurralde, R.C., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Lawrence, P., Liu, W., Olin, S., Pugh, T., Rosenzweig, C., Sakurai, G., Schmid, E., Sultan, B. et al. (2021). Strong regional influence of climatic forcing datasets on global crop model ensembles. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 300, e108313. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108313.

Müller, C., Franke, J., Jägermeyr, J., Ruane, A.C., Elliott, J., Moyer, E., Heinke, J., Falloon, P.D., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Francois, L., Hank, T., Izaurralde, R.C., Jacquemin, I., Liu, W., Olin, S., Pugh, T.A.M., Williams, K. & Zabel, F. (2021). Exploring uncertainties in global crop yield projections in a large ensemble of crop models and CMIP5 and CMIP6 climate scenarios. Environmental Research Letters 16 (3), e034040. 10.1088/1748-9326/abd8fc.

Jägermeyr, J., Robock, A., Elliott, J., Müller, C., Xia, L., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Schmid, E., Liu, W., Zabel, F., Rabin, S.S., Puma, M.J., Heslin, A.C., Franke, J., Foster, I., Asseng, S., Bardeen, C.G., Toon, O.B. & Rosenzweig, C. (2020). A regional nuclear conflict would compromise global food security. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 10.1073/pnas.1919049117.

Franke, J.A., Müller, C., Elliott, J., Ruane, A.C., Jägermeyr, J., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Ciais, P., Dury, M., Falloon, P.D., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, François, L., Hank, T., Hoffmann, M., Izaurralde, R.C., Jacquemin, I., Jones, C., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Koch, M., Li, M., Liu, W. et al. (2020). The GGCMI Phase 2 experiment: global gridded crop model simulations under uniform changes in CO<sub>2</sub>, temperature, water, and nitrogen levels (protocol version 1.0). Geoscientific Model Development 13 (5), 2315-2336. 10.5194/gmd-13-2315-2020.

Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Elliott, J., Müller, C., Balkovič, J., Chryssanthacopoulos, J., Izaurralde, R.C., Jones, C.D., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Liu, W., Reddy, A., Schmid, E., Skalsky, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0983-6897, Yang, H., Arneth, A., Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Lawrence, P.J., Olin, S., Pugh, T.A.M., Ruane, A.C. et al. (2019). Parameterization-induced uncertainties and impacts of crop management harmonization in a global gridded crop model ensemble. PLoS ONE 14 (9), e0221862. 10.1371/journal.pone.0221862.

Müller, C., Elliott, J., Kelly, D., Arneth, A., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Hoek, S., Izaurralde, R.C., Jones, C.D., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Lawrence, P., Liu, W., Olin, S., Pugh, T.A.M., Reddy, A., Rosenzweig, C., Ruane, A.C., Sakurai, G. et al. (2019). The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison phase 1 simulation dataset. Scientific Data 6 (1), e50. 10.1038/s41597-019-0023-8.

Müller, C., Elliott, J., Ruane, A., Jägermeyr, J., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Ciais, P., Dury, M., Falloon, P., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Francois, L., Hank, T., Hoffmann, M., Izaurralde, C., Jacquemin, I., Jones, C., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Koch, M., Liu, W., Olin, S., Pugh, T. et al. (2019). Understanding crop model response types in a global gridded crop model ensemble. In: Agriculture and Climate Change, 24-26 March 2019, Budapest, Hungary.

Schewe, J., Gosling, S., Reyer, C., Zhao, F., Ciais, P., Elliott, J., Francois, L., Huber, V., Lotze, H., Seneviratne, S., van Vliet, M., Vautard, R., Wada, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4770-2539, Breuer, L., Buchner, M., Carozza, D., Chang, J., Coll, M., Deryng, D., de Wit, A. et al. (2019). State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes. Nature Communications 10.1038/s41467-019-08745-6.

Müller, C., Elliott, J., Pugh, T.A.M., Ruane, A.C., Ciais, P., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Deryng, D., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Izaurralde, R.C., Jones, C.D., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Lawrence, P., Liu, W., Reddy, A.D., Schmid, E. & Wang, X. (2018). Global patterns of crop yield stability under additional nutrient and water inputs. PLoS ONE 13 (6), e0198748. 10.1371/journal.pone.0198748.

Schleussner, C.-F., Deryng, D., Müller, C., Elliott, J., Saeed, F., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Liu, W., Wang, X., Pugh, T., Thiery, W., Seneviratne, S.I. & Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 (2018). Crop productivity changes in 1.5°C and 2°C worlds under climate sensitivity uncertainty. Environmental Research Letters 13, e064007. 10.1088/1748-9326/aab63b.

Rosenzweig, C., Ruane, A.C., Antle, J., Elliott, J., Ashfaq, M., Chatta, A.A., Ewert, F., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Hathie, I., Havlik, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5551-5085, Hoogenboom, G., Lotze-Campen, H., MacCarthy, D.S., Mason-D'Croz, D., Contreras, E.M., Müller, C., Perez-Dominguez, I., Phillips, M., Porter, C., Raymundo, R.M. et al. (2018). Coordinating AgMIP data and models across global and regional scales for 1.5°C and 2.0°C assessments. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 376 (2119), e20160455. 10.1098/rsta.2016.0455.

Porwollik, V., Müller, C., Elliott, J., Chryssanthacopoulos, J., Iizumi, T., Ray, D.K., Ruane, A.C., Arneth, A., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Izaurralde, R.C., Jones, C.D., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Lawrence, P.J., Liu, W., Pugh, T.A.M., Reddy, A., Sakurai, G. et al. (2017). Spatial and temporal uncertainty of crop yield aggregations. European Journal of Agronomy 88, 10-21. 10.1016/j.eja.2016.08.006.

Frieler, K., Schauberger, B., Arneth, A., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Chryssanthacopoulos, J., Deryng, D., Elliott, J., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Müller, C., Olin, S., Pugh, T.A.M., Schaphoff, S., Schewe, J., Schmidt, E., Warszawski, L. & Levermann, A. (2017). Understanding the weather signal in national crop-yield variability. Earth's Future 5 (6), 605-616. 10.1002/2016EF000525.

Müller, C., Elliott, J., Chryssanthacopoulos, J., Arneth, A., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Glotter, M., Hoek, S., Iizumi, T., Izaurralde, R.C., Jones, C., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Lawrence, P., Liu, W., Olin, S., Pugh, T., Ray, D., Reddy, A. et al. (2017). Global Gridded Crop Model evaluation: benchmarking, skills, deficiencies and implications. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions 10, 1403-1422. 10.5194/gmd-2016-207.

Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Elliott, J., Müller, C., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Chryssanthacopoulos, J., Izaurralde, R.C., Jones, C.D., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Liu, W., Reddy, A., Schmid, E., Skalsky, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0983-6897, Yang, H., Arneth, A., Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Lawrence, P.J., Olin, S., Pugh, T.A.M., Ruane, A.C. et al. (2016). Uncertainties in global crop model frameworks: effects of cultivar distribution, crop management and soil handling on crop yield estimates. Biogeosciences Discussions, 1-30. 10.5194/bg-2016-527. (Submitted)

Özkan, Ş., Vitali, A., Lacetera, N., Amon, B., Bannink, A., Bartley, D.J., Blanco-Penedo, I., de Haas, Y., Dufrasne, I., Elliott, J., Eory, V., Fox, N.J., Garnsworthy, P.C., Gengler, N., Hammami, H., Kyriazakis, I., Leclere, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8658-1509, Lessire, F., Macleod, M., Robinson, T.P. et al. (2016). Challenges and priorities for modelling livestock health and pathogens in the context of climate change. Environmental Research 151, 130-144. 10.1016/j.envres.2016.07.033.

Liu, B., Asseng, S., Müller, C., Ewert, F., Elliott, J., Lobell, D.B., Martre, P., Ruane, A.C., Wallach, D., Jones, J.W., Rosenzweig, C., Aggarwal, P.K., Alderman, P.D., Anothai, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A., Deryng, D., Sanctis, G. et al. (2016). Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat yield by three independent methods. Nature Climate Change 6 (12), 1130-1136. 10.1038/nclimate3115.

Pugh, T.A.M, Müller, C., Elliott, J., Deryng, D., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Olin, S., Schmid, E. & Arneth, A. (2016). Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change. Nature Communications 7, e12608. 10.1038/ncomms12608.

Deryng, D., Elliott, J., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Müller, C., Pugh, T.A.M., Boote, K.J., Conway, D., Ruane, A.C., Gerten, D., Jones, J.W., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Olin, S., Schaphoff, S., Schmid, E., Yang, H. & Rosenzweig, C. (2016). Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity. Nature Climate Change 6 (4), 1-8. 10.1038/NCLIMATE2995.

Frieler, K., Levermann, A., Elliott, J. & Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668 (2015). A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties. Earth System Dynamics 6 (2), 447-460. 10.5194/esd-6-447-2015.

Rosenzweig, C., Elliott, J., Deryng, D., Ruane, A.C., Mueller, C., Arneth, A., Boote, K.J., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Glotter, M., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Neumann, K., Piontek, F., Pugh, T.A.M., Schmid, E., Stehfest, E., Yang, H. & Jones, J.W. (2014). Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (9), 3268-3273. 10.1073/pnas.1222463110.

Nelson, G.C., Valin, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0618-773X, Sands, R.D., Havlik, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5551-5085, Ahammad, H., Deryng, D., Elliott, J., Fujimori, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7897-1796, Hasegawa, T., Heyhoe, E., Kyle, P., Von Lampe, M., Lotze-Campen, H., d'Croz, D.M., van Meijl, H., van der Mensbrugghe, D., Müller, C., Popp, A., Robertson, R., Robinson, S. et al. (2014). Climate change effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (9), 3274-3279. 10.1073/pnas.1222465110.

Elliott, J., Deryng, D., Mueller, C., Frieler, K., Konzmann, M., Gerten, D., Glotter, M., Flörke, M., Wada, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4770-2539, Best, N., Eisner, S., Fekete, B.M., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Foster, I., Gosling, S.N., Haddeland, I., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Ludwig, F., Masaki, Y., Olin, S. et al. (2014). Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (9), 3239-3244. 10.1073/pnas.1222474110.

Piontek, F., Mueller, C., Pugh, T.A.M., Clark, D.B., Deryng, D., Elliott, J., González, F.G.C., Flörke, M., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Franssen, W., Frieler, K., Friend, A.D., Gosling, S.N., Hemming, D., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Kim, H., Lomas, M.R., Masaki, Y., Mengel, M., Morse, A. et al. (2014). Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (9), 3233-3238. 10.1073/pnas.1222471110.