Browse by Author

Article

Jägermeyr, J., Müller, C., Ruane, A.C., Elliott, J., Balkovič, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Castillo, O., Faye, B., Foster, I., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Franke, J.A., Fuchs, K., Guarin, J.R., Heinke, J., Hoogenboom, G., Iizumi, T., Jain, A.K., Kelly, D., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Lange, S., Lin, T.-S. et al. (2021). Climate impacts on global agriculture emerge earlier in new generation of climate and crop models. Nature Food 2, 873-885. 10.1038/s43016-021-00400-y.

Franke, J.A., Müller, C., Minoli, S., Elliott, J., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Gardner, C., Hank, T., Izaurralde, R.C., Jägermeyr, J., Jones, C.D., Liu, W., Olin, S., Pugh, T.A.M., Ruane, A.C., Stephens, H., Zabel, F. & Moyer, E.J. (2021). Agricultural breadbaskets shift poleward given adaptive farmer behavior under climate change. Global Change Biology 28, 167-181. 10.1111/gcb.15868.

Zabel, F., Müller, C., Elliott, J., Minoli, S., Jägermeyr, J., Schneider, J.M., Franke, J.A., Moyer, E., Dury, M., Francois, L., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Liu, W., Pugh, T.A.M., Olin, S., Rabin, S.S., Mauser, W., Hank, T., Ruane, A.C. & Asseng, S. (2021). Large potential for crop production adaptation depends on available future varieties. Global Change Biology 27 (16), 3870-3882. 10.1111/gcb.15649.

Ruane, A.C., Phillips, M., Müller, C., Elliott, J., Jägermeyr, J., Arneth, A., Balkovič, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Deryng, D., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Iizumi, T., Izaurralde, R.C., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Lawrence, P., Liu, W., Olin, S., Pugh, T., Rosenzweig, C., Sakurai, G., Schmid, E., Sultan, B. et al. (2021). Strong regional influence of climatic forcing datasets on global crop model ensembles. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 300, e108313. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108313.

Müller, C., Franke, J., Jägermeyr, J., Ruane, A.C., Elliott, J., Moyer, E., Heinke, J., Falloon, P.D., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Francois, L., Hank, T., Izaurralde, R.C., Jacquemin, I., Liu, W., Olin, S., Pugh, T.A.M., Williams, K. & Zabel, F. (2021). Exploring uncertainties in global crop yield projections in a large ensemble of crop models and CMIP5 and CMIP6 climate scenarios. Environmental Research Letters 16 (3), e034040. 10.1088/1748-9326/abd8fc.

Jägermeyr, J., Robock, A., Elliott, J., Müller, C., Xia, L., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Schmid, E., Liu, W., Zabel, F., Rabin, S.S., Puma, M.J., Heslin, A.C., Franke, J., Foster, I., Asseng, S., Bardeen, C.G., Toon, O.B. & Rosenzweig, C. (2020). A regional nuclear conflict would compromise global food security. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 10.1073/pnas.1919049117.

Franke, J.A., Müller, C., Elliott, J., Ruane, A.C., Jägermeyr, J., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Ciais, P., Dury, M., Falloon, P.D., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, François, L., Hank, T., Hoffmann, M., Izaurralde, R.C., Jacquemin, I., Jones, C., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Koch, M., Li, M., Liu, W. et al. (2020). The GGCMI Phase 2 experiment: global gridded crop model simulations under uniform changes in CO<sub>2</sub>, temperature, water, and nitrogen levels (protocol version 1.0). Geoscientific Model Development 13 (5), 2315-2336. 10.5194/gmd-13-2315-2020.

Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Elliott, J., Müller, C., Balkovič, J., Chryssanthacopoulos, J., Izaurralde, R.C., Jones, C.D., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Liu, W., Reddy, A., Schmid, E., Skalsky, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0983-6897, Yang, H., Arneth, A., Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Lawrence, P.J., Olin, S., Pugh, T.A.M., Ruane, A.C. et al. (2019). Parameterization-induced uncertainties and impacts of crop management harmonization in a global gridded crop model ensemble. PLoS ONE 14 (9), e0221862. 10.1371/journal.pone.0221862.

Müller, C., Elliott, J., Kelly, D., Arneth, A., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Hoek, S., Izaurralde, R.C., Jones, C.D., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Lawrence, P., Liu, W., Olin, S., Pugh, T.A.M., Reddy, A., Rosenzweig, C., Ruane, A.C., Sakurai, G. et al. (2019). The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison phase 1 simulation dataset. Scientific Data 6 (1), e50. 10.1038/s41597-019-0023-8.

Schewe, J., Gosling, S., Reyer, C., Zhao, F., Ciais, P., Elliott, J., Francois, L., Huber, V., Lotze, H., Seneviratne, S., van Vliet, M., Vautard, R., Wada, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4770-2539, Breuer, L., Buchner, M., Carozza, D., Chang, J., Coll, M., Deryng, D., de Wit, A. et al. (2019). State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes. Nature Communications 10.1038/s41467-019-08745-6.

Müller, C., Elliott, J., Pugh, T.A.M., Ruane, A.C., Ciais, P., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Deryng, D., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Izaurralde, R.C., Jones, C.D., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Lawrence, P., Liu, W., Reddy, A.D., Schmid, E. & Wang, X. (2018). Global patterns of crop yield stability under additional nutrient and water inputs. PLoS ONE 13 (6), e0198748. 10.1371/journal.pone.0198748.

Schleussner, C.-F., Deryng, D., Müller, C., Elliott, J., Saeed, F., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Liu, W., Wang, X., Pugh, T., Thiery, W., Seneviratne, S.I. & Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 (2018). Crop productivity changes in 1.5°C and 2°C worlds under climate sensitivity uncertainty. Environmental Research Letters 13, e064007. 10.1088/1748-9326/aab63b.

Rosenzweig, C., Ruane, A.C., Antle, J., Elliott, J., Ashfaq, M., Chatta, A.A., Ewert, F., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Hathie, I., Havlik, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5551-5085, Hoogenboom, G., Lotze-Campen, H., MacCarthy, D.S., Mason-D'Croz, D., Contreras, E.M., Müller, C., Perez-Dominguez, I., Phillips, M., Porter, C., Raymundo, R.M. et al. (2018). Coordinating AgMIP data and models across global and regional scales for 1.5°C and 2.0°C assessments. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 376 (2119), e20160455. 10.1098/rsta.2016.0455.

Porwollik, V., Müller, C., Elliott, J., Chryssanthacopoulos, J., Iizumi, T., Ray, D.K., Ruane, A.C., Arneth, A., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Izaurralde, R.C., Jones, C.D., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Lawrence, P.J., Liu, W., Pugh, T.A.M., Reddy, A., Sakurai, G. et al. (2017). Spatial and temporal uncertainty of crop yield aggregations. European Journal of Agronomy 88, 10-21. 10.1016/j.eja.2016.08.006.

Frieler, K., Schauberger, B., Arneth, A., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Chryssanthacopoulos, J., Deryng, D., Elliott, J., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Müller, C., Olin, S., Pugh, T.A.M., Schaphoff, S., Schewe, J., Schmidt, E., Warszawski, L. & Levermann, A. (2017). Understanding the weather signal in national crop-yield variability. Earth's Future 5 (6), 605-616. 10.1002/2016EF000525.

Müller, C., Elliott, J., Chryssanthacopoulos, J., Arneth, A., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Glotter, M., Hoek, S., Iizumi, T., Izaurralde, R.C., Jones, C., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Lawrence, P., Liu, W., Olin, S., Pugh, T., Ray, D., Reddy, A. et al. (2017). Global Gridded Crop Model evaluation: benchmarking, skills, deficiencies and implications. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions 10, 1403-1422. 10.5194/gmd-2016-207.

Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Elliott, J., Müller, C., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Chryssanthacopoulos, J., Izaurralde, R.C., Jones, C.D., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Liu, W., Reddy, A., Schmid, E., Skalsky, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0983-6897, Yang, H., Arneth, A., Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Lawrence, P.J., Olin, S., Pugh, T.A.M., Ruane, A.C. et al. (2016). Uncertainties in global crop model frameworks: effects of cultivar distribution, crop management and soil handling on crop yield estimates. Biogeosciences Discussions, 1-30. 10.5194/bg-2016-527. (Submitted)

Özkan, Ş., Vitali, A., Lacetera, N., Amon, B., Bannink, A., Bartley, D.J., Blanco-Penedo, I., de Haas, Y., Dufrasne, I., Elliott, J., Eory, V., Fox, N.J., Garnsworthy, P.C., Gengler, N., Hammami, H., Kyriazakis, I., Leclere, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8658-1509, Lessire, F., Macleod, M., Robinson, T.P. et al. (2016). Challenges and priorities for modelling livestock health and pathogens in the context of climate change. Environmental Research 151, 130-144. 10.1016/j.envres.2016.07.033.

Liu, B., Asseng, S., Müller, C., Ewert, F., Elliott, J., Lobell, D.B., Martre, P., Ruane, A.C., Wallach, D., Jones, J.W., Rosenzweig, C., Aggarwal, P.K., Alderman, P.D., Anothai, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Cammarano, D., Challinor, A., Deryng, D., Sanctis, G. et al. (2016). Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat yield by three independent methods. Nature Climate Change 6 (12), 1130-1136. 10.1038/nclimate3115.

Pugh, T.A.M, Müller, C., Elliott, J., Deryng, D., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Olin, S., Schmid, E. & Arneth, A. (2016). Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change. Nature Communications 7, e12608. 10.1038/ncomms12608.

Deryng, D., Elliott, J., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Müller, C., Pugh, T.A.M., Boote, K.J., Conway, D., Ruane, A.C., Gerten, D., Jones, J.W., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Olin, S., Schaphoff, S., Schmid, E., Yang, H. & Rosenzweig, C. (2016). Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity. Nature Climate Change 6 (4), 1-8. 10.1038/NCLIMATE2995.

Frieler, K., Levermann, A., Elliott, J. & Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668 (2015). A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties. Earth System Dynamics 6 (2), 447-460. 10.5194/esd-6-447-2015.

Rosenzweig, C., Elliott, J., Deryng, D., Ruane, A.C., Mueller, C., Arneth, A., Boote, K.J., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Glotter, M., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Neumann, K., Piontek, F., Pugh, T.A.M., Schmid, E., Stehfest, E., Yang, H. & Jones, J.W. (2014). Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (9), 3268-3273. 10.1073/pnas.1222463110.

Nelson, G.C., Valin, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0618-773X, Sands, R.D., Havlik, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5551-5085, Ahammad, H., Deryng, D., Elliott, J., Fujimori, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7897-1796, Hasegawa, T., Heyhoe, E., Kyle, P., Von Lampe, M., Lotze-Campen, H., d'Croz, D.M., van Meijl, H., van der Mensbrugghe, D., Müller, C., Popp, A., Robertson, R., Robinson, S. et al. (2014). Climate change effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (9), 3274-3279. 10.1073/pnas.1222465110.

Elliott, J., Deryng, D., Mueller, C., Frieler, K., Konzmann, M., Gerten, D., Glotter, M., Flörke, M., Wada, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4770-2539, Best, N., Eisner, S., Fekete, B.M., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Foster, I., Gosling, S.N., Haddeland, I., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Ludwig, F., Masaki, Y., Olin, S. et al. (2014). Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (9), 3239-3244. 10.1073/pnas.1222474110.

Piontek, F., Mueller, C., Pugh, T.A.M., Clark, D.B., Deryng, D., Elliott, J., González, F.G.C., Flörke, M., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Franssen, W., Frieler, K., Friend, A.D., Gosling, S.N., Hemming, D., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Kim, H., Lomas, M.R., Masaki, Y., Mengel, M., Morse, A. et al. (2014). Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (9), 3233-3238. 10.1073/pnas.1222471110.

Conference or Workshop Item

Müller, C., Elliott, J., Ruane, A., Jägermeyr, J., Balkovic, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2955-4931, Ciais, P., Dury, M., Falloon, P., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Francois, L., Hank, T., Hoffmann, M., Izaurralde, C., Jacquemin, I., Jones, C., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Koch, M., Liu, W., Olin, S., Pugh, T. et al. (2019). Understanding crop model response types in a global gridded crop model ensemble. In: Agriculture and Climate Change, 24-26 March 2019, Budapest, Hungary.