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Van Vuuren, D.P., O'Neill, B.C., Tebaldi, C., Sanderson, B.M., Chini, L.P., Friedlingstein, P., Hasegawa, T., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Govindasamy, B., Bauer, N., Eyring, V., Fall, C.M.N., Frieler, K., Gidden, M.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Gohar, L.K., Högner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4178-9664, Jones, A.D., Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, King, A., Knutti, R. et al. (2026). The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP7 (ScenarioMIP-CMIP7). Geoscientific Model Development 19 (7), 2627-2656. 10.5194/gmd-19-2627-2026.

Jones, C.G., Adloff, F., Booth, B.B.B., Cox, P.M., Eyring, V., Friedlingstein, P., Frieler, K., Hewitt, H.T., Jeffery, H.A., Joussaume, S., Koenigk, T., Lawrence, B.N., O'Rourke, E., Roberts, M.J., Sanderson, B.M., Séférian, R., Somot, S., Vidale, P.L., van Vuuren, D., Acosta, M. et al. (2024). Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy. Earth System Dynamics 15 (5), 1319-1351. 10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024.

Palazzo Corner, S., Siegert, M., Ceppi, P., Fox-Kemper, B., Frölicher, T., Gallego-Sala, A., Haigh, J., Hegerl, G., Jones, C., Knutti, R., Koven, C., MacDougall, A., Meinshausen, M., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Sallée, J., Sanderson, B., Séférian, R., Turetsky, M., Williams, R., Zaehle, S. et al. (2023). The Zero Emissions Commitment and climate stabilization. Frontiers in Science 1 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744.

Tebaldi, C., Debeire, K., Eyring, V., Fischer, E., Fyfe, J., Friedlingstein, P., Knutti, R., Lowe, J., O'Neill, B., Sanderson, B., van Vuuren, D., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Meinshausen, M., Nicholls, Z., Tokarska, K. B., Hurtt, G., Kriegler, E., Lamarque, J.-F., Meehl, G., Moss, R. et al. (2021). Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6. Earth System Dynamics 12 (1), 253-293. 10.5194/esd-12-253-2021.

Damon Matthews, H., Tokarska, K.B., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, MacDougall, A.H., Haustein, K., Mengis, N., Sippel, S., Forster, P.M. & Knutti, R. (2021). An integrated approach to quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget. Communications Earth & Environment 2 (1), e7. 10.1038/s43247-020-00064-9.

Tokarska, K.B., Arora, V.K., Gillett, N.P., Lehner, F., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Schleussner, C.-F., Séférian, R. & Knutti, R. (2020). Uncertainty in carbon budget estimates due to internal climate variability. Environmental Research Letters 15 (10), e104064. 10.1088/1748-9326/abaf1b.

Matthews, H.D., Tokarska, K.B., Nicholls, Z.R.J., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Canadell, J.G., Friedlingstein, P., Frölicher, T.L., Forster, P.M., Gillett, N.P., Ilyina, T., Jackson, R.B., Jones, C.D., Koven, C., Knutti, R., MacDougall, A.H., Meinshausen, M., Mengis, N., Séférian, R. & Zickfeld, K. (2020). Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy. Nature Geoscience 13 (12), 769-779. 10.1038/s41561-020-00663-3.

O'Neill, B. C., Tebaldi, C., van Vuuren, D. P., Eyring, V., Friedlingstein, P., Hurtt, G., Knutti, R., Kriegler, E., Lamarque, J.-F., Lowe, J., Meehl, G. A., Moss, R., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 & Sanderson, B. M. (2016). The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development 9 (9), 3461-3482. 10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016.

Schleussner, C.F., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Schaeffer, M., Lissner, T., Licker, R., Fischer, E.M., Knutti, R., Levermann, A., Frieler, K. & Hare, W. (2016). Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal. Nature Climate Change 6 (7), 1-9. 10.1038/nclimate3096.

Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Schaefer, M., Friedlingstein, P., Gillett, N., van Vuuren, D., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Allen, M. & Knutti, R. (2016). Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled. Nature Climate Change 6 (3), 245-252. 10.1038/nclimate2868.

Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 & Knutti, R. (2016). Geosciences after Paris. Nature Geoscience 9, 187-189. 10.1038/ngeo2668.

Knutti, R., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Sedlacek, J. & Fischer, E.M. (2016). A scientific critique of the two-degree climate change target. Nature Geoscience 9 (1), 13-18. 10.1038/ngeo2595.

Knutti, R. & Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 (2015). The legacy of our CO2 emissions: a clash of scientific facts, politics and ethics. Climatic Change 133 (3), 361-373. 10.1007/s0584-015-1340-3.

Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Schaeffer, M., Meinshausen, M., Knutti, R., Alcamo, J., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 & Hare, W. (2015). Zero emission targets as long-term global goals for climate protection. Environmental Research Letters 10 (10), no.105007. 10.1088/1748-9326/10/10/105007.

Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Meinhausen, M., Schaffer, M., Knutti, R. & Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 (2015). Impact of short-lived non-CO2 mitigation on carbon budgets for stabilizing global warming. Environmental Research Letters 10 (7), no.075001. 10.1088/1748-9326/10/7/075001.

Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Reisinger, A., McCollum, D.L., Knutti, R., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 & Meinshausen, M. (2015). Mitigation choices impact carbon budget size compatible with low temperature goals. Environmental Research Letters 10 (7), no.075003. 10.1088/1748-9326/10/7/075003.

Friedlingstein, P., Andrew, R.M., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Peters, G.P., Canadell, J.G., Knutti, R., Luderer, G., Raupach, M.R., Schaeffer, M., van Vuuren, D.P. & Le Quere, C. (2014). Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets. Nature Geoscience 7 (10), 709-715. 10.1038/ngeo2248.

Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Meinshausen, M., Sedlacek, J. & Knutti, R. (2014). Implications of potentially lower climate sensitivity on climate projections and policy. Environmental Research Letters 9 (3), no.031003. 10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/031003.

Book Section

Collins, M., Knutti, R., Arblaster, J., Dufresne, J.-L., Fichefet, T., Friedlingstein, P., Gao, X., Gutowski, W.J., Johns, T., Krinner, G., Shongwe, M., Tebaldi, C., Weaver, A.J. & Wehner, M. (2013). Chapter 12 - Long-term climate change: Projections, commitments and irreversibility. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. IPCC Working Group I Contribution to AR5. Eds. IPCC, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.