Items where IIASA Author is "Nicholls, Zebedee"

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Number of items: 39.

Article

Schöngart, S., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Hoffmann, R., Pelz, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3528-8679 & Schleussner, C.-F. (2025). High-income groups disproportionately contribute to climate extremes worldwide. Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-025-02325-x. (In Press)

Tang, G., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Norton, A., Zaehle, S. & Meinshausen, M. (2025). Synthesizing global carbon–nitrogen coupling effects – the MAGICC coupled carbon–nitrogen cycle model v1.0. Geoscientific Model Development 18 (7), 2193-2230. 10.5194/gmd-18-2193-2025.

Tang, G., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Jones, C., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Norton, A., Ziehn, T., Romero-Prieto, A. & Meinshausen, M. (2025). Investigating carbon and nitrogen conservation in reported CMIP6 Earth system model data. Geoscientific Model Development 18 (7), 2111-2136. 10.5194/gmd-18-2111-2025.

Sadai, S., Ranganathan, M., Nauels, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1378-3377, Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Merner, D., Dahl, K., Licker, R. & Ekwurzel, B. (2025). Estimating the sea level rise responsibility of industrial carbon producers. Environmental Research Letters 20 (4), e044012. 10.1088/1748-9326/adb59f.

Ganti, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6638-4076, Pelz, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3528-8679, Klönne, U., Gidden, M.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Schleussner, C.F. & Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 (2025). Fair carbon removal obligations under climate response uncertainty. Climate Policy, 1-13. 10.1080/14693062.2025.2481138. (In Press)

Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Cummins, D.P., Fredriksen, H.-B., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Meinshausen, M., Allen, M., Jenkins, S., Leach, N., Mathison, C. & Partanen, A.-I. (2024). fair-calibrate v1.4.1: calibration, constraining, and validation of the FaIR simple climate model for reliable future climate projections. Geoscientific Model Development 17 (23), 8569-8592. 10.5194/gmd-17-8569-2024.

Schwaab, J., Hauser, M., Lamboll, R.D., Beusch, L., Gudmundsson, L., Quilcaille, Y., Lejeune, Q., Schöngart, S., Schleussner, C.-F., Nath, S., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 & Seneviratne, S.I. (2024). Spatially resolved emulated annual temperature projections for overshoot pathways. Scientific Data 11 (1) 10.1038/s41597-024-04122-1.

Schleussner, C.-F., Ganti, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6638-4076, Lejeune, Q., Zhu, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9360-6797, Pfleiderer, P., Prutz, R., Ciais, P., Frölicher, T.L., Fuss, S., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Kropf, C.M., Lacroix, F., Lamboll, R., Martyr, R., Maussion, F., McCaughey, J.W., Meinshausen, M., Mengel, M., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 et al. (2024). Overconfidence in climate overshoot. Nature 634 (8033), 366-373. 10.1038/s41586-024-08020-9.

Meinshausen, M., Schleussner, C.-F., Beyer, K., Bodeker, G., Boucher, O., Canadell, J.G., Daniel, J.S., Diongue-Niang, A., Driouech, F., Fischer, E., Forster, P., Grose, M., Hansen, G., Hausfather, Z., Ilyina, T., Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Kimutai, J., King, A.D., Lee, J.-Y., Lennard, C. et al. (2024). A perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios: towards representative emission pathways (REPs). Geoscientific Model Development 17 (11), 4533-4559. 10.5194/gmd-17-4533-2024.

Séférian, R., Bossy, T., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Dorheim, K., Su, X., Tsutsui, J. & Santana-Falcón, Y. (2024). Physical inconsistencies in the representation of the ocean heat-carbon nexus in simple climate models. Communications Earth & Environment 5 (1), e591. 10.1038/s43247-024-01464-x.

Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Grassi, G., Forsell, N., Janssens, I., Lamb, W., Minx, J., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Steinhauser, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5989-6855 & Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 (2023). Aligning climate scenarios to emissions inventories shifts global benchmarks. Nature 624, 102-108. 10.1038/s41586-023-06724-y.

Palazzo Corner, S., Siegert, M., Ceppi, P., Fox-Kemper, B., Frölicher, T., Gallego-Sala, A., Haigh, J., Hegerl, G., Jones, C., Knutti, R., Koven, C., MacDougall, A., Meinshausen, M., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Sallée, J., Sanderson, B., Séférian, R., Turetsky, M., Williams, R., Zaehle, S. et al. (2023). The Zero Emissions Commitment and climate stabilization. Frontiers in Science 1 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744.

Lamboll, R.D., Nicholls, Z.R.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Smith, C.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Kikstra, J.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742 & Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 (2023). Assessing the size and uncertainty of remaining carbon budgets. Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-023-01848-5.

McKinley, G., Bennington, V., Meinshausen, M. & Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 (2023). Modern air-sea flux distributions reduce uncertainty in the future ocean carbon sink. Environmental Research Letters 18 (4), e044011. 10.1088/1748-9326/acc195.

Kikstra, J.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Nicholls, Z.R.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Smith, Christopher J., Lewis, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924, Lamboll, R.D., Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742, Sandstad, M., Meinshausen, M, Gidden, M.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Kriegler, E., Peters, G.P., Fuglestvedt, J.S., Skeie, R.B., Samset, B.H., Wienpahl, L., van Vuuren, D.P., van der Wijst, K.-I., Al Khourdajie, A., Forster, P.M. et al. (2022). The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures. Geoscientific Model Development 15 (24), 9075-9109. 10.5194/gmd-15-9075-2022.

Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Grassi, G., Forsell, N., Janssens, I., Lamb, W., Minx, J., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Steinhauser, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5989-6855 & Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 (2022). Policy guidance and pitfalls aligning IPCC scenarios to national land emissions inventories. Earth and Space Science Open Archive 10.1002/essoar.10512676.2.

Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Meinshausen, M., Lewis, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924, Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Forster, P.M., Fuglestvedt, J.S., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 & Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742 (2022). Changes in IPCC Scenario Assessment Emulators Between SR1.5 and AR6 Unraveled. Geophysical Research Letters 49 (20) 10.1029/2022GL099788.

Brecha, R.J., Ganti, G., Lamboll, R.D., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Hare, B., Lewis, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924, Meinshausen, M., Schaeffer, M., Smith, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633 & Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X (2022). Institutional decarbonization scenarios evaluated against the Paris Agreement 1.5 °C goal. Nature Communications 13 (1), art.no. 4304. 10.1038/s41467-022-31734-1.

King, A.D., Peel, J., Ziehn, T., Bowen, K.J., McClelland, H.L.O., McMichael, C., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 & Sniderman, J.M.K. (2022). Preparing for a post-net-zero world. Nature Climate Change 12, 775-777. 10.1038/s41558-022-01446-x.

Dooley, K., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 & Meinshausen, M. (2022). Carbon removals from nature restoration are no substitute for steep emission reductions. One Earth 5 (7), 812-824. 10.1016/j.oneear.2022.06.002.

Kikstra, J.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Nicholls, Z.R.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Smith, C.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Lewis, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924, Lamboll, R.D., Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742, Sandstad, M., Meinshausen, M., Gidden, M.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Kriegler, E., Peters, G.P., Fuglestvedt, J.S., Skeie, R.B., Samset, B.H., Wienpahl, L., van Vuuren, D.P., van der Wijst, K.-I., Al Khourdajie, A., Forster, P.M. et al. (2022). The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures. Preprint 10.5194/egusphere-2022-471.

Koven, C., Arora, V., Cadule, P., Fisher, R., Jones, C., Lawrence, D., Lewis, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924, Lindsey, K., Mathesius, S., Meinshausen, M., Mills, M., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Sanderson, B., Swart, N., Wieder, W. & Zickfeld, K. (2022). 23rd Century surprises: Long-term dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios. Earth System Dynamics 10.5194/esd-2021-23. (Submitted)

Meinshausen, M., Lewis, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924, McGlade, C., Gütschow, J., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Burdon, R., Cozzi, L. & Hackmann, B. (2022). Realization of Paris Agreement pledges may limit warming just below 2 °C. Nature 604 (7905), 304-309. 10.1038/s41586-022-04553-z.

Meinshausen, M. & Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 (2022). GWP*is a model, not a metric. Environmental Research Letters 17 (4), e041002. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac5930.

Beusch, L., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Gudmundsson, L., Hauser, M., Meinshausen, M. & Seneviratne, S.I. (2022). From emission scenarios to spatially resolved projections with a chain of computationally efficient emulators: coupling of MAGICC (v7.5.1) and MESMER (v0.8.3). Geoscientific Model Development 15 (5), 2085-2103. 10.5194/gmd-15-2085-2022.

Lamboll, R., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742 & Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 (2022). Assessing the size and uncertainty of remaining carbon budgets. Nature Portfolio 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1934427/v1. (Submitted)

Book Section

Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Schaeffer, R., Arango, J., Calvin, K., Guivarch, C., Hasegawa, T., Jiang, K., Kriegler, E., Matthews, R., Peters, G.P., Rao, A., Robertson, S., Sebbit, A.M., Steinberger, J., Tavoni, M. & van Vuuren, D.P. (2022). Mitigation Pathways Compatible with Long-term Goals (Chapter 3). In: IPCC 2022: Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Eds. Shukla, A.R., Skea, J., Slade, R., Al Khourdajie, A., van Diemen, R., McCollum, D., Pathak, M., Some, S., Vyas, P., Fradera, R. et al., pp. 295-408 Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press. 10.1017/9781009157926.005.

Shukla, A.R, Skea, J., Reisinger, A., Slade, R., Fradera, R., Pathak, M., Al Khourdajie, A., Belkacemi, M., van Diemen, R., Hasija, A., Lisboa, G., Luz, S., Malley, J., McCollum, D., Some, S. & Vyas, P. (2022). Summary for Policymakers. In: IPCC 2022: Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Eds. Shukla, A.R., Skea, J., Slade, R., Al Khourdajie, A., van Diemen, R., McCollum, D., Pathak, M., Some, S., Vyas, P., Fradera, R. et al., pp. 3-48 Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press. 10.1017/9781009157926.001.

Conference or Workshop Item

Nauels, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1378-3377, Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Klönne, U., Hermans, T., Mengel, M., Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633 & Palmer, M. (2024). Exploring multi-century sea level rise commitments from 21st century cumulative emissions to inform minimum coastal adaptation needs. DOI:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-10716. In: EGU General Assembly 2024, 14-19 April 2024, Vienna.

Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Grassi, G., Forsell, N., Janssens, I., Lamb, W., Minx, J., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Steinhauser, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5989-6855 & Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 (2024). Aligning climate scenarios to emissions inventories shifts global benchmarks. DOI:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-218. In: EGU General Assembly 2024, 14-19 April 2024, Vienna.

Data

Sloughter, T. & Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 (2024). MAGICC AR7 fast track probabilistic distribution. 10.5281/zenodo.14533584.

Tang, G., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Norton, A., Zaehle, S. & Meinshausen, M. (2024). Model Source Code for "Synthesizing Global Carbon-Nitrogen Coupling Effects – the MAGICC Coupled Carbon-Nitrogen Cycle Model v1.0". 10.5281/zenodo.12204421.

Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Grassi, G., Forsell, N., Janssens, I., Lamb, W., Minx, Jan, Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Steinhauser, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5989-6855 & Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 (2023). Dataset for Gidden et.al. 2023 Updated AR6 Mitigation Benchmarks using National Emissions Inventories. 10.5281/zenodo.8411053.

Richters, O., Kriegler, E., Al Khourdajie, A., Bertram, C., Bresch, D., Ciullo, A., Cornforth, E., Cui, R., Edmonds, J., Fuchs, S., Hackstock, P., Holland, D., Hurst, I., Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Klein, D., Kotz, M., Kropf, C., Lewis, J., Liadze, I., Mandaroux, R. et al. (2023). NGFS Climate Scenarios Data Set Version 4.0. 10.5281/zenodo.10070596.

Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Meinshausen, M. & Lewis, J. (2023). MAGICC7 SSP carbon cycle output using AR6 tuning. 10.5281/zenodo.7679402.

Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742, Krey, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0307-3515, Kriegler, E., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Schaeffer, R., Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Lamboll, R., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Sandstad, M., Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, van der Wijst, K., Al -Khourdajie, A., Lecocq, F., Portugal-Pereira, J., Saheb, Y., Stromman, A., Winkler, H., Auer, C., Brutschin, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7040-3057, Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X et al. (2022). AR6 Scenarios Database. 10.5281/zenodo.7197970.

Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Meinshausen, M. & Lewis, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924 (2022). AR6 WG3 Plots and Processing. 10.5281/zenodo.6496232.

Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Meinshausen, M. & Lewis, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924 (2022). AR6 WG1 Plots and Processing. 10.5281/zenodo.6386979.

Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Lewis, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924, Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Lamboll, R., Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742, Sandstad, M. & Wienpahl, L. (2022). Infiller database for silicone: IPCC AR6 WGIII version. 10.5281/zenodo.6390768.

This list was generated on Sat May 10 15:56:28 2025 UTC.