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Wynes, S., Davis, S.J., Dickau, M., Ly, S., Maibach, E., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Zickfeld, K. & Matthews, H.D. (2024). Perceptions of carbon dioxide emission reductions and future warming among climate experts. Communications Earth & Environment 5 (1), e498. 10.1038/s43247-024-01661-8.

Forster, P. M., Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Walsh, T., Lamb, W., Lamboll, R., Hall, B., Hauser, M., Ribes, A., Rosen, D., Gillett, N., Palmer, M. D., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, von Schuckmann, K., Trewin, B., Allen, M., Andrew, R., Betts, R., Boyer, T., Buontempo, C., Burgess, S. et al. (2024). Indicators of Global Climate Change 2023: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence. Earth System Science Data Discussions 16 (6), 2625-2658. 10.5194/essd-2024-149.

Forster, P. M., Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Walsh, T., Lamb, W. F., Lamboll, R., Hall, B., Hauser, M., Ribes, A., Rosen, D., Gillett, N. P., Palmer, M. D., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, von Schuckmann, K., Trewin, B., Allen, M., Andrew, R., Betts, R. A., Borger, A., Boyer, T., Broersma, J. A. et al. (2024). Indicators of Global Climate Change 2023: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence. Earth System Science Data 16 (6), 2625-2658. 10.5194/essd-16-2625-2024.

Zickfeld, K., MacIsaac, A.J., Canadell, J.G., Fuss, S., Jackson, R.B., Jones, C.D., Lohila, A., Matthews, H.D., Peters, G.P., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 & Zaehle, S. (2023). Net-zero approaches must consider Earth system impacts to achieve climate goals. Nature Climate Change 13 (12), 1298-1305. 10.1038/s41558-023-01862-7.

Forster, P.M., Smith, C.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Walsh, T., Lamb, W.F., Lamboll, R., Hauser, M., Ribes, A., Rosen, D., Gillett, N., Palmer, M.D., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, von Schuckmann, K., Seneviratne, S.I., Trewin, B., Zhang, X., Allen, M., Andrew, R., Birt, A., Borger, A., Boyer, T. et al. (2023). Indicators of Global Climate Change 2022: annual update of large-scale indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence. Earth System Science Data 15 (6), 2295-2327. 10.5194/essd-15-2295-2023.

Koven, C., Arora, V., Cadule, P., Fisher, R., Jones, C., Lawrence, D., Lewis, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924, Lindsey, K., Mathesius, S., Meinshausen, M., Mills, M., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Sanderson, B., Swart, N., Wieder, W. & Zickfeld, K. (2022). 23rd Century surprises: Long-term dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios. Earth System Dynamics 10.5194/esd-2021-23. (Submitted)

MacDougall, A.H., Frölicher, T.L., Jones, C.D., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Matthews, H. D., Zickfeld, K., Arora, V.K., Barrett, N.J., Brovkin, V., Burger, F.A., Eby, M., Eliseev, A.V., Hajima, T., Holden, P.B., Jeltsch-Thömmes, A., Koven, C., Mengis, N., Menviel, L., Michou, M., Mokhov, I.I. et al. (2020). Is there warming in the pipeline? A multi-model analysis of the Zero Emissions Commitment from CO2. Biogeosciences 17 (11), 2987-3016. 10.5194/bg-17-2987-2020.

Matthews, H.D., Tokarska, K.B., Nicholls, Z.R.J., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Canadell, J.G., Friedlingstein, P., Frölicher, T.L., Forster, P.M., Gillett, N.P., Ilyina, T., Jackson, R.B., Jones, C.D., Koven, C., Knutti, R., MacDougall, A.H., Meinshausen, M., Mengis, N., Séférian, R. & Zickfeld, K. (2020). Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy. Nature Geoscience 13 (12), 769-779. 10.1038/s41561-020-00663-3.

Tokarska, K.B., Zickfeld, K. & Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 (2019). Path Independence of Carbon Budgets When Meeting a Stringent Global Mean Temperature Target After an Overshoot. Earth's Future 7 (12), 1283-1295. 10.1029/2019EF001312.

Jones, C.D., Frölicher, T.L., Koven, C., MacDougall, A.H., Matthews, H.D., Zickfeld, K., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Tokarska, K.B., Gillett, N.P., Ilyina, T., Meinshausen, M., Mengis, N., Séférian, R., Eby, M. & Burger, F.A. (2019). The Zero Emissions Commitment Model Intercomparison Project (ZECMIP) contribution to C4MIP: quantifying committed climate changes following zero carbon emissions. Geoscientific Model Development 12 (10), 4375-4385. 10.5194/gmd-12-4375-2019.

Smith, C.J., Forster, P.M., Allen, M., Fuglestvedt, J., Millar, R.J., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 & Zickfeld, K. (2019). Current fossil fuel infrastructure does not yet commit us to 1.5 °C warming. Nature Communications 10 (1), e101. 10.1038/s41467-018-07999-w.

Allen, M., Antwi-Agyei, P., Aragon-Durand, F., Babiker, M., Bertoldi, P., Bind, M., Brown, S., Buckeridge, M., Camilloni, I., Cartwright, A., Cramer, W., Dasgupta, P., Diedhiou, A., Djalante, R., Dong, W., Ebi, K.L., Engelbrecht, F., Fifita, S., Ford, J., Fuß, S. et al. (2019). Technical Summary: Global warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Shindell, D., Jiang, K., Fifita, S., Forster, P., Ginzburg, V., Handa, C., Kheshgi, H., Kobayashi, S., Kriegler, E., Mundaca, L., Seferian, R., Vilarino, M.V., Calvin, K., Edelenbosch, O., Emmerling, J., Fuss, S., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Gillet, N., He, C. et al. (2018). Chapter 2: Mitigation pathways compatible with 1.5°C in the context of sustainable development. In: Global Warming of 1.5 °C an IPCC special report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Kvale, K., Zickfeld, K., Bruckner, T., Meissner, K.J., Tanaka, K. & Weaver, A.J. (2012). Carbon dioxide emission pathways avoiding dangerous ocean impacts. Weather, Climate, and Society 4 (3), 212-229. 10.1175/WCAS-D-11-00030.1.