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den Elzen, M., Dafnomilis, I., Hof, A., Olsson, M., Beusen, A., Botzen, W., Kuramochi, T., Nascimento, L. & Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 (2023). The impact of policy and model uncertainties on emissions projections of the Paris Agreement pledges. Environmental Research Letters 18 (5), e054026. 10.1088/1748-9326/acceb7.

van Soest, H., Aleluia Reis, L., Baptista, L., Bertram, C., Despres, J., Drouet, L., den Elzen, M., Fragkos, P., Fricko, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6835-9883, Fujimori, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7897-1796, Grant, N., Harmsen, M., Iyer, G., Keramidas, K., Koberle, A., Kriegler, E., Malik, A., Mittal, S., Oshiro, K., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 et al. (2021). Global roll-out of comprehensive policy measures may aid in bridging emissions gap. Nature Communications 12 (1), e6419. 10.1038/s41467-021-26595-z.

Höhne, N., Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, den Elzen, M., Hans, F., Fyson, C., Geiges, A., Jeffery, M.L., Gonzales-Zuñiga, S., Mooldijk, S., Hare, W. & Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 (2021). Wave of net zero emission targets opens window to meeting the Paris Agreement. Nature Climate Change 11, 820-822. 10.1038/s41558-021-01142-2.

Kuramochi, T., Nascimento, L., Moisio, M., den Elzen, M., Forsell, N., van Soest, H., Tanguy, P., Gonzales, S., Hans, F., Jeffery, M.L., Fekete, H., Schiefer, T., de Villafranca Casas, M.J., De Vivero-Serrano, G., Dafnomilis, I., Roelfsema, M. & Höhne, N. (2021). Greenhouse gas emission scenarios in nine key non-G20 countries: An assessment of progress toward 2030 climate targets. Environmental Science & Policy 123, 67-81. 10.1016/j.envsci.2021.04.015.

Fekete, H., Kuramochi, T., Roelfsema, M., den Elzen, M., Forsell, N., Höhne, N., Luna, L., Hans, F., Sterl, S., Olivier, J., van Soest, H., Frank, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5702-8547 & Gusti, M. (2021). A review of successful climate change mitigation policies in major emitting economies and the potential of global replication. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 137, e110602. 10.1016/j.rser.2020.110602.

Roelfsema, M., van Soest, H.L., Hamsen, M., den Elzen, M., Höhne, N., Iacubuta, G., Krey, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0307-3515, Kriegler, E., Luderer, G., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Ueckerdt, F., Després, J., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Frank, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5702-8547, Fricko, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6835-9883, Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Humpenöder, F., Huppmann, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7729-7389, Fujimori, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7897-1796 et al. (2020). Taking stock of national climate policies to evaluate implementation of the Paris Agreement. Nature Communications 11, e2096. 10.1038/s41467-020-15414-6.

Höhne, N., den Elzen, M., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Metz, B., Fransen, T., Kuramochi, T., Olhoff, A., Alcamo, J., Winkler, H., Fu, S., Schaeffer, M., Schaeffer, R., Peters, G.P., Maxwell, S. & Dubash, N.K. (2020). Emissions: world has four times the work or one-third of the time. Nature 579 (7797), 25-28. 10.1038/d41586-020-00571-x.

Roelfsema, M., Fekete, H., Höhne, N., den Elzen, M., Forsell, N., Kuramochi, T., de Coninck, H. & van Vuuren, D. (2018). Reducing global GHG emissions by replicating successful sector examples: the ‘good practice policies’ scenario. Climate Policy 18 (9), 1103-1113. 10.1080/14693062.2018.1481356.

Forsell, N., Turkovska, O., Gusti, M., den Elzen, M., Obersteiner, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769 & Havlik, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5551-5085 (2016). Assessing the INDCs' land use, land use change, and forest emission projections. Carbon Balance and Management 11 (26), 1-17. 10.1186/s13021-016-0068-3.

Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, den Elzen, M., Höhne, M., Franzen, T., Fekete, H., Winkler, H., Schaeffer, R., Sha, F., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 & Meinshausen, M. (2016). Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2°C. Nature 534, 631-639. 10.1038/nature18307.

den Elzen, M., Fekete, H., Hoeho, N., Admiraal, A., Forsell, N., Hof, A.F., Olivier, J.G.J., Roelfsma, M. & van Soest, H. (2016). Greenhouse gas emissions from current and enhanced policies of China until 2030: can emissions peak before 2030. Energy Policy 89, 224-236. 10.1016/j.enpol.2015.11.030.

Meinshausen, M., Jeffrey, L., Guetschow, J., Du Pont, Y.R., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Schaeffer, M., Hohne, N., den Elzen, M., Oberthur, S. & Meinshausen, N. (2015). National post-2020 greenhouse gas targets and diversity-aware leadership. Nature Climate Change 5, 1098-1106. 10.1038/nclimate2826.

Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Kriegler, E., Johnson, N., Bertram, C., den Elzen, M., Schaeffer, M., Krey, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0307-3515, Luderer, G., McCollum, D.L. & van Vuuren, D.P. (2015). Locked into Copenhagen pledges - Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90 (Part A), 8-23. 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.016.

Roelfsema, M., den Elzen, M., Hoehne, N., Hof, A.F., Braun, N., Fekete, H., Bottcher, H., Brandsma, R. & Larkin, J. (2014). Are major economies on track to achieve their pledges for 2020? An assessment of domestic climate and energy policies. Energy Policy 67, 781-796. 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.11.055.

Hoehne, N., Taylor, C., Elias, R., den Elzen, M., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Chen, C., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Grassi, G., Wagner, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3429-2374, Levin, K., Massetti, E. & Xiusheng, Z. (2012). National GHG emissions reduction pledges and 2 degrees C: Comparison of studies. Climate Policy 12 (3), 356-377. 10.1080/14693062.2011.637818.

Book Section

de Coninck, H., Revi, A., Babiker, M., Bertoldi, P., Buckeridge, M., Cartwright, A., Dong, W., Ford, J., Fuss, S., Hourcade, J.-C., Ley, D., Mechler, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2239-1578, Newman, P., Revokatova, A., Schultz, S., Steg, L., Sugiyama, T., Araos, M., Bakker, S., Bazaz, A. et al. (2018). Chapter 4: Strengthening and implementing the global response. In: Global Warming of 1.5 °C an IPCC special report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

den Elzen, M., Hohne, N., Jiang, K., Cantzler, J., Drost, P., Fransen, T., Fekete, H., Kuramochi, T., Lee, D., Levin, K., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Sha, F., Schaeffer, M. & Vrontisi, Z. (2017). The emissions gap and its implications. In: The Emissions Gap Report 2017-A UN Environment Synthesis Report. pp. 11-26 Nairobi: United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). ISBN 978-92-807-3673-1

den Elzen, M., Hohne, N., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Fransen, T., Roelfsema, M. & Sterl, S. (2016). 2030 trends and ambitions. In: The Emissions Gap Report 2016-A UN Environment Synthesis Report. pp. 10-22 Nairobi: United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). ISBN 978-92-807-3617-5

den Elzen, M., Fransen, T., Hohne, N., Winkler, H., Schaeffer, R., Sha, F., Garg, A., Cunliffe, G., Fekete, H., Ge, M., Grassi, G., Roelfsema, M., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Sterl, S. & Vasquez, E. (2015). The emissions gap in 2025 and 2030. In: The Emissions Gap Report 2015-A UN Environment Synthesis Report. pp. 12-27 Nairobi: United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). ISBN 978-92-807-3491-1

den Elzen, M., Fransen, T. & Rogner, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1045-9830 (2013). Emission trends, pledges and their implementation. In: The Emissions Gap Report 2013: A UNEP Synthesis Report. pp. 3-12 Nairobi: United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). ISBN 978-92-807-3353-2

Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Shukla, P.R., Dellink, R., den Elzen, M., Hanaoka, T., Lowe, J., Luderer, G., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Schaeffer, M., Schaeffer, R. & van Vuuren, D. (2012). The emissions gap - An update. In: The Emissions Gap Report 2012: A UNEP Synthesis Report. pp. 21-29 Nairobi: United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). ISBN 978-92-807-3303-7

Monograph

Schmidt Tagomori, I., den Elzen, M., van Vuuren, D., Amendola Diuana, F., Schaefer, R. & Battersby, S. (2022). Promising climate progress. IIASA Policy Brief. Laxenburg, Austria: PB-34

Book

Blok, K., Hare, W., Hohne, N., Kainuma, M., Kejun, J., Lee, D.S., Rogelj, J., Shukla, A., Arent, D., Bogner, J., Chen, C., Dellink, R., den Elzen, M., Endresesn, O., Faber, J., Facanha, C., Gesteira, C., Hanaoka, T., Levin, K., Lockley, P. et al. (2011). Bridging the Emissions Gap: A UNEP Synthesis Report. Nairobi: United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). ISBN 978-92-807-3229-0

Other

Nascimento, L., Kuramochi, T., Wollands, S., de Villafranca Casa, M.J., Hans, F., de Vivero, G., Fekete, H., Pelekh, N., Lui, S., Wong, J., Höhne, N., Dafnomilis, I., Hooijschuur, E., den Elzen, M., Roelfsema, M., Forsell, N., Araujo Gutierrez, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2228-7079 & Gusti, M. (2022). Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries Analysis of current climate policies and mitigation commitments: 2022 update. NewClimate Institute , Cologne, Germany.

Nascimento, L., Kuramochi, T., Moisio, M., Hans, F., de Vivero, G., Gonzales-Zuñiga, S., Smit, S., Lui, S., Schiefer, T., Mooldijk, S., Wong, J., de Castro Dias, E., Höhne, N., van Soest, H., Dafnomilis, I., Chen, H.H., den Elzen, M., Forsell, N., Batka, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0517-7473 & Gusti, M. (2021). Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries – Analysis of current climate policies and mitigation commitments: 2021 Update. NewClimate Institute , Cologne, Germany.

Miosio, M., van Soest, H., Forsell, N., Nascimento, L., de Vivero, G., Gonzales-Zuñiga, S., Hans, F., Lui, S., Schiefer, T., Mooldijk, S., Höhne, N., Batka, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0517-7473, Dafnomilis, I., den Elzen, M. & Kuramochi, T. (2020). Overview of recently adopted mitigation policies and climate-relevant policy responses to COVID-19 – 2020 Update. NewClimate Institute, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Kuramochi, T., Nascimento, L., de Villafranca Casas, M.J., Fekete, H., de Vivero, G., Lui, S., Kurdziel, M., Moisio, M., Tanguy, P., Jeffery, L., Schiefer, T., Suzuki, M., Höhne, N., van Soest, H., den Elzen, M., Esmejer, K., Roelfsema, M., Forsell, N. & Gusti, M. (2019). Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries - Analysis of current climate policies and mitigation commitments: 2019 update. NewClimate Institute , Cologne, Germany.

Esmeijer, K., den Elzen, M., Gernaat, D., van Vuuren, D., Doelman, J., Keramidas, K., Tchung-Ming, S., Despres, J., Schmitz, A., Forsell, N., Havlik, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5551-5085 & Frank, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5702-8547 (2018). 2 °C and 1.5 °C scenarios and possibilities of limiting the use of BECCS and bio-energy. PBL Publishers , The Hague, Netherlands.

Kuramochi, T., Fekete, H., Luna, L., de Villafranca Casas, M.J., Nascimento, L., Hans, F., Höhne, N., van Soest, H., den Elzen, M., Esmeijer, K., Roelfsema, M., Forsell, N., Turkovska, O. & Gusti, M. (2018). Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries – Analysis of current climate policies and mitigation commitments: 2018 update. NewClimate Institute , Cologne, Germany.

Kuramochi, T., Fekete, H., Hans, F., Luna, L., Gonzales-Zuniga, S., Sterl, S., Hagemann, M., Höhne, N., van Soest, H., den Elzen, M., Esmeijer, K., Roelfsema, M., Forsell, N. & Turkovska, O. (2017). Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries - Analysis of current climate policies and mitigation commitments 2017 update. NewClimate Institute , Cologne, Germany.

Kuramochi, T., Höhne, N., Gonzales-Zuñiga,, S., Hans, F., Sterl, S., Hagemann, M., Legaria, E.H., den Elzen, M., Roelfsema, M., van Soest, H., Forsell, N. & Turkovska, O. (2016). Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries - Analysis of current climate policies and mitigation pledges. NewClimate Institute , Cologne, Germany.

van Soest, H., Reis, L.A., van Vuuren, D., Bertram, C., Drouet, L., Jewell, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2846-9081, Kriegler, E., Luderer, G., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Tavoni, M. & den Elzen, M. (2015). Regional low-emission pathways from global models. Nota di Lavoro 110.2015, Italy [December 2015] 10.13140/RG.2.1.2008.3284.

Fekete, H., Roelfsema, M., Hoehne, N., den Elzen, M., Forsell, N. & Becerra, S. (2015). Impacts of good practice policies on regional and global greenhouse gas emissions. Report prepared by PBL/NewClimate Institute/IIASA under contract to DG CLIMA. Service Contract n0071303/2011662342/SER/CLIMA.A4