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Liu, Z., Ke, P., Deng, Z., Ciais, P., Andrew, R., Bastos, A., Bai, Y., Canadell, J.G., Guan, D., Dou, X., Davis, S.J., Dai, F., Friedlingstein, P., Huang, X., Hu, Y., Jackson, R. B., Janssens-Maenhout, G., Jones, M.W., Kammen, D.M., Li, Y. et al. (2026). China’s net-zero budget. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment 10.1038/s43017-026-00791-1. (In Press)

Wang, Z., Liu, T., Wang, S., Fang, S., Meng, J., Chen, X., Kurths, J., Havlin, S., Chen, F., Rockström, J., Chen, D., Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935 & Fan, J. (2026). Planetary climate interactions of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. arXiv (Submitted)

Ludescher, J., Meng, J., Fan, J., Bunde, A. & Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935 (2026). Climate network and complexity based ENSO forecast for 2026. arXiv preprint, arXiv:2602.14773. 10.48550/arXiv.2602.14773.

Ripple, W.J., Wolf, C., Rockström, J., Richardson, K., Wunderling, N., Gregg, J.W., Westerhold, T. & Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935 (2026). The risk of a hothouse Earth trajectory. One Earth, e101565. 10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101565.

Ludescher, J., Meng, J., Fan, J., Bunde, A. & Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935 (2026). Predicting ENSO dynamics with network and complexity analyses. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science 36 (2), e023139. 10.1063/5.0307169.

Zagorodny, A., Bogdanov, V., Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935, Ermolieva, T., Havlik, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5551-5085 & Komendantova, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2568-6179 (2026). Robust downscaling and models’ linkage procedures for integrated modeling and management of systemic risks, resilience, and food-energy-water-environmental nexus security [in Russian]. Кібернетика та системний аналіз 62 (3), 68-88.

Rockström, J., Schlosser, P., Bhowmik, A.K., Cremades, R., Donges, J.F., Dyke, J.G., Ebi, K.L., Heilemann, A., Jacob, D., Mirazo, P., Moreno Ramírez, D., Nakicenovic, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7176-4604, Otto, I.M., Prettenthaler, F., Ranganathan, J., Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935, Warren, R. & Wu, H.C. (2025). Living beyond limits: Consequences of missing the decisive decade for preserving our planet’s life-supporting systems. One Earth 9 (2), e101527. 10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101527.

Li, C., Pradhan, P., Chen, G., Kropp, J.P. & Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935 (2025). Carbon footprint of the construction sector is projected to double by 2050 globally. Communications Earth & Environment 6 (1), e831. 10.1038/s43247-025-02840-x.

Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Joshi, S., Armitage, J.J., Christ, A.-B., Boettcher, M., Brutschin, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7040-3057, Köberle, A.C., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935, Schleussner, C.-F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8471-848X & Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 (2025). A prudent planetary limit for geologic carbon storage. Nature 645 (8079), 124-132. 10.1038/s41586-025-09423-y.

Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935 (2025). Foreword to the Special Issue on Polycrisis and Systemic Risks. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 10.1007/s13753-025-00660-3.

Ludescher, J., Yuan, N., Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935 & Bunde, A. (2025). Natural variability-focused assessment of climate overshoot timing. Communications Earth & Environment 6 (1), e567. 10.1038/s43247-025-02525-5.

Goujon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4125-6857, Addo, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2357-7649, Bauer, M., Lips, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2719-1551, Lutz, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7975-8145 & Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935 (2025). The breadth and potential of systems analysis across Africa. Environmental Development 55, e101207. 10.1016/j.envdev.2025.101207.

Ludescher, J., Meng, J., Fan, J., Bunde, A. & Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935 (2025). Climate network and complexity approach predict neutral ENSO event for 2025. arXiv preprint, arxiv.org/abs/2502.00643. 10.48550/arXiv.2502.00643.

Spirn, A.W., Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935, Daigger, C.T, Fu, J., Childs, P., Sedlak, D., Head, P., Ravasi, T., de Meulder, B., Shannon, K., Dultzin, D., Sosa, F., Kay, A., da Rocha, H.R., Chou, S.C., Buckeridge, M., Nobre, C.A., Yokohari, M., Xie, S.-P., Ashraf, K.K. et al. (2025). Why Sponge Planet? Discussions on Land-Based, Water-Driven Solutions. Landscape Architecture Frontiers 13 (1), 2-12. 10.15302/J-LAF-1-010042.

Kornhuber, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5466-2059, Bartusek, S., Seager, R., Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935 & Ting, M. (2024). Global emergence of regional heatwave hotspots outpaces climate model simulations. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 121 (49), e2411258121. 10.1073/pnas.2411258121.

Fan, J., Meng, J., Chen, X. & Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935 (2024). Complexity science meets Earth system. Science Bulletin 70 (1), 19-24. 10.1016/j.scib.2024.10.017.

Kornhuber, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5466-2059, Bartusek, S., Seager, R., Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935 & Ting, M. (2024). Global emergence of regional heatwave hotspots outpaces climate model projections. EarthArXiv 10.31223/X5N111. (Submitted)

Bunde, A., Ludescher, J. & Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935 (2024). Evaluation of the real-time El Niño forecasts by the climate network approach between 2011 and present. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-024-05035-0.

Bunde, A., Ludescher, J. & Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935 (2024). Evaluation of the Real-time El Niño Forecasts by the Climate Network Approach between 2011 and Present. arXiv preprint, arxiv.org/abs/2402.05911. 10.1007/s00704-024-05035-0.

Warszawski, L., Kriegler, E., Lenton, T.M., Gaffney, O., Jacob, D., Klingenfeld, D., Koide, R., Máñez Costa, M., Messner, D., Nakicenovic, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7176-4604, Schellnhuber, H.J., Schlosser, P., Takeuchi, K., van der Leeuw, S., Whiteman, G. & Rockström, J. (2021). All options, not silver bullets, needed to limit global warming to 1.5°C: a scenario appraisal. Environmental Research Letters 16 (6), e064037. 10.1088/1748-9326/abfeec.

Chen, S., Chen, B., Feng, K., Liu, Z., Fromer, N., Tan, X., Alsaedi, A., Hayat, T., Weisz, H., Schellnhuber, H.J. & Hubacek, K. (2020). Physical and virtual carbon metabolism of global cities. Nature Communications 11 (1) 10.1038/s41467-019-13757-3.

Shan, Y., Guan, D., Hubacek, K., Zheng, B., Davis, S.J., Jia, L., Liu, J., Liu, Z., Fromer, N., Mi, Z., Meng, J., Deng, X., Li, Y., Lin, J., Schroeder, H., Weisz, H. & Schellnhuber, H.J. (2018). City-level climate change mitigation in China. Science Advances 4 (6), eaaq0390. 10.1126/sciadv.aaq0390.

Rockström, J., Gaffney, O., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Meinshausen, M., Nakicenovic, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7176-4604 & Schellnhuber, H.J. (2017). A roadmap for rapid decarbonization. Science 355 (6331), 1269-1271. 10.1126/science.aah3443.

Rockström, J., Schellnhuber, H.J., Hoskins, B., Ramanathan, V., Schlosser, P., Brasseur, G.P., Gaffney, O., Nobre, C., Meinsheusen, M., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 & Lucht, W. (2016). The world's biggest gamble. Earth's Future 4 (10), 465-470. 10.1002/2016EF000392.

Rockstroem, J., Brasseur, G., Hoskins, B., Lucht, W., Schellnhuber, H.J., Kabat, P., Nakicenovic, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7176-4604, Gong, P., Schlosser, P., Costa, M.M. & Humble, A. (2014). Climate change: The necessary, the possible and the desirable Earth League climate statement on the implications for climate policy from the 5th IPCC Assessment. Earth's Future 2 (12), 606-611. 10.1002/2014EF000280.

Huber, V., Schellnhuber, H.J., Arnell, N.W., Frieler, K., Friend, A.D., Gerten, D., Haddeland, I., Kabat, P., Lotze-Campen, H., Lucht, W., Parry, M., Piontek, F., Rosenzweig, C., Schewe, J. & Warszawski, L. (2014). Climate impact research: Beyond patchwork. Earth System Dynamics 5 (2), 399-408. 10.5194/esd-5-399-2014.

Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Schaeffer, M., Meinshausen, M., Shindell, D.T., Hare, W., Klimont, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2630-198X, Velders, G.J.M., Amann, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1963-0972 & Schellnhuber, H.J. (2014). Disentangling the effects of CO2 and short-lived climate forcer mitigation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (46), 16325-16330. 10.1073/pnas.1415631111.

Piontek, F., Mueller, C., Pugh, T.A.M., Clark, D.B., Deryng, D., Elliott, J., González, F.G.C., Flörke, M., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Franssen, W., Frieler, K., Friend, A.D., Gosling, S.N., Hemming, D., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, Kim, H., Lomas, M.R., Masaki, Y., Mengel, M., Morse, A. et al. (2014). Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (9), 3233-3238. 10.1073/pnas.1222471110.

Schellnhuber, H.J., Frieler, K. & Kabat, P. (2014). The elephant, the blind, and the intersectoral intercomparison of climate impacts. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (9), 3225-3227. 10.1073/pnas.1321791111.

Dangerman, A.T.C.J. & Schellnhuber, H.J. (2013). Energy systems transformation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110 (7), E549-E558. 10.1073/pnas.1219791110.

Toth, F.L., Bruckner, T., Fuessel, H-M., Leimbach, M., Petschel-Held, G. & Schellnhuber, H.J. (2002). Exploring options for global climate policy: A new analytical framework. Environment 44 (5), 22-34. 10.1080/00139150209605787.

Book Section

Schellnhuber, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7453-4935 (2024). Bauhaus Earth: Sustainable Use of Wood in the Construction Sector. In: 3 Degrees More: The Impending Hot Season and How Nature Can Help Us Prevent It. Eds. Wiegandt, K., pp. 147-177 Cham, Switzerland: Springer. ISBN 978-3-031-58143-4 10.1007/978-3-031-58144-1_8.

Monograph

Kates, R.W., Clark, W.C., Corell, R., Hall, J.M., Jaeger, C.C., Lowe, I., McCarthy, J.J., Schellnhuber, H.J., Bolin, B., Dickson, N.M., Faucheux, S., Gallopin, G.C., Grubler, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7814-4990, Huntley, B., Jäger, J., Jodha, N.S., Kasperson, R.E., Mabogunje, A., Matson, P., Mooney, H. et al. (2001). Sustainability Science. IIASA Research Report (Reprint). IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-01-007. Reprinted from Science, 292 (5517):641-642 [2001]

Book

Kraas, F., Leggewie, C., Lemke, P., Matthies, E., Messner, D., Nakicenovic, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7176-4604, Schellnhuber, H.J., Schlacke, S., Schneidewind, U., Brandi, C., Butsch, C., Busch, S., Hanusch, F., Haum, R., Jaeger-Erben, M., Köster, M., Kroll, M., Loose, C., Ley, A., Martens, D. et al. (2016). Der Umzug der Menschheit: Die transformative Kraft der Städte. Berlin: WBGU - German Advisory Council on Global Change. ISBN 978-3-936191-72-1

Kraas, F., Leggewie, C., Lemke, P., Matthies, E., Messner, D., Nakicenovic, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7176-4604, Schellnhuber, H.J., Schlacke, S., Schneidewind, U., Brandi, C., Butsch, C., Busch, S., Hanusch, F., Haum, R., Jaeger-Erben, M., Köster, M., Kroll, M., Loose, C., Ley, A., Martens, D. et al. (2016). Humanity on the move: Unlocking the transformative power of cities. Berlin: WBGU - German Advisory Council on Global Change. ISBN 978-3-936191-45-5

Kraas, F., Leggewie, C., Lemke, P., Matthies, E., Messner, D., Nakicenovic, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7176-4604, Schellnhuber, H.J., Schlacke, S., Schneidewind, U., Brandi, C., Busch, S., Hanusch, F., Köster, M., Kroll, M., Loose, C., Paulini, I., Pilardeaux, B., Schlüter, T., Schöneberg, G., Schulz, A. et al. (2016). Development and justice through transformation: The Four Big ‘I’s. Special Report. Berlin: WBGU - German Advisory Council on Global Change. ISBN 978-3-946830-01-6

Schellnhuber, H.J., Messner, D., Leggewie, C., Leinfelder, R., Nakicenovic, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7176-4604, Rahmstorfer, S., Schlacke, S., Schmid, J. & Schubert, R. (2009). Solving the Climate Dilemma: The Budget Approach (Special Report 2009). Berlin: WBGU. ISBN 978-3-936191-27-1

Schellnhuber, H.J., Cramer, W., Nakicenovic, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7176-4604, Wigley, T.M.L. & Yohe, G.W. (2006). Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. ISBN 9780521864718 10.2277/0521864712.

Data

Warszawski, L., Kriegler, E., Lenton, T., Gaffney, O., Jacob, D., Klingenfeld, D., Koide, R., Manez Costa, M., Messner, D., Nakicenovic, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7176-4604, Schellnhuber, H.J., Schlosser, P., Takeuchi, K., Van Der Leeuw, S., Whiteman, G. & Rockstrom, J. (2023). All options, not silver bullets, needed to limit global warming to 1.5 °C: a scenario appraisal: parameter table. 10.5281/zenodo.7925676.

Other

Schellnhuber, H.J., Widera, B., Kutnar, A., Organschi, A., Hafner, A., Hillebrandt, A., Murphy, O. & Nakicenovic, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7176-4604 (2022). Horizon Europe-New European Bauhaus Nexus Report: Conclusions of the High-Level Workshop on ‘Research and Innovation for the New European Bauhaus’, jointly organised by DG Research and Innovation and the Joint Research Centre. ISBN 978-92-76-46886-8 , European Commission, Brussels. 10.2777/49925.

Schellnhuber, H.J., Frieler, K. & Kabat, P. (eds.) (2014). Global Climate Impacts: A Cross Sector, Multi Model Assessment Special Feature. National Academy of Sciences