Browse by Project Publications

Jones, C.G., Adloff, F., Booth, B.B.B., Cox, P.M., Eyring, V., Friedlingstein, P., Frieler, K., Hewitt, H.T., Jeffery, H.A., Joussaume, S., Koenigk, T., Lawrence, B.N., O'Rourke, E., Roberts, M.J., Sanderson, B.M., Séférian, R., Somot, S., Vidale, P.L., van Vuuren, D., Acosta, M., et al. (2024). Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy. Earth System Dynamics 15 (5) 1319-1351. 10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024.

MacDougall, A.H., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Jones, C.D., Liddicoat, S.K., & Grassi, G. (2024). Detecting climate milestones on the path to climate stabilization. Environmental Research Letters 19 (7) e074065. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad5ab1.

Meinshausen, M., Schleussner, C.-F., Beyer, K., Bodeker, G., Boucher, O., Canadell, J.G., Daniel, J.S., Diongue-Niang, A., Driouech, F., Fischer, E., Forster, P., Grose, M., Hansen, G., Hausfather, Z., Ilyina, T., Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Kimutai, J., King, A.D., Lee, J.-Y., Lennard, C., et al. (2024). A perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios: towards representative emission pathways (REPs). Geoscientific Model Development 17 (11) 4533-4559. 10.5194/gmd-17-4533-2024.

Séférian, R., Bossy, T., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Dorheim, K., Su, X., Tsutsui, J., & Santana-Falcón, Y. (2024). Physical inconsistencies in the representation of the ocean heat-carbon nexus in simple climate models. Communications Earth & Environment 5 (1) e591. 10.1038/s43247-024-01464-x.

Lamb, W.F., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Roman-Cuesta, R.M., Grass, G., Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Powis, C.M., Geden, O., Nemet, G., Pratama, Y., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Smith, S.M., Steinhauser, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5989-6855, Vaughan, N.E., Smith, H., & Minx, J.C. (2024). Current national proposals are off track to meet carbon dioxide removal needs. Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-024-01993-5.

Lamb, W.F., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Roman-Cuesta, R.M., Grassi, G., Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Powis, C.M., Geden, O., Nemet, G., Pratama, Y., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Smith, S.M., Steinhauser, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5989-6855, Vaughan, N.E., Smith, H.B., & Minx, J.C. (2024). The carbon dioxide removal gap. Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-024-01984-6.

Xiong (熊元康), Y., Wang (王戎), R., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Ciais, P., Peñuelas, J., Sardans, J., Clark, J. H., Cao (曹军骥), J., Xing (邢晓帆), X., Xu (徐思清), S., Deng (邓艺菲), Y., Wang (王琳), L., Chen (陈建民), J., Tang (汤绪), X., & Zhang (张人禾), R. (2024). Potential impacts of pandemics on global warming, agricultural production, and biodiversity loss. One Earth 7 1-17. 10.1016/j.oneear.2024.02.012.

Bossy, T., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Lecocq, F., Bednar, J., Tanaka, K., & Ciais, P. (2024). Least-cost and 2 °C-compliant mitigation pathways robust to physical uncertainty, economic paradigms, and intergenerational cost distribution. Environmental Research: Climate 3 (2) e025005. 10.1088/2752-5295/ad34a8.

Nakhavali, A., Lauerwald, R., Regnier, P., & Friedlingstein, P. (2024). Historical trends and drivers of the laterally transported terrestrial dissolved organic carbon to river systems. Science of the Total Environment 917 e170560. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170560.

Cox, P.M., Williamson, M.S., Friedlingstein, P., Jones, C.D., Raoult, N., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, & Varney, R.M. (2024). Emergent constraints on carbon budgets as a function of global warming. Nature Communications 15 (1) e1885. 10.1038/s41467-024-46137-7.

Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 & Lamboll, R.D. (2024). Substantial reductions in non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions reductions implied by IPCC estimates of the remaining carbon budget. Communications Earth & Environment 5 (1) e35. 10.1038/s43247-023-01168-8.

Jones, C.D., Ziehn, T., Anand, J., Bastos, A., Burke, E., Canadell, J.G., Cardoso, M., Ernst, Y., Jain, A.K., Jeong, S., Keller, E.D., Kondo, M., Lauerwald, R., Lin, T.‐S., Murray‐Tortarolo, G., Nabuurs, G.‐J., O’Sullivan, M., Poulter, B., Qin, X., von Randow, C., et al. (2023). RECCAP2 Future Component: Consistency and Potential for Regional Assessment to Constrain Global Projections. AGU Advances 4 (6) e2023AV001024. 10.1029/2023AV001024.

Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Grassi, G., Forsell, N., Janssens, I., Lamb, W., Minx, J., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Steinhauser, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5989-6855, & Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 (2023). Aligning climate scenarios to emissions inventories shifts global benchmarks. Nature 624 102-108. 10.1038/s41586-023-06724-y.

Lamboll, R.D., Nicholls, Z.R.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Smith, C.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Kikstra, J.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742, & Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 (2023). Assessing the size and uncertainty of remaining carbon budgets. Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-023-01848-5.

Obermeier, W.A., Schwingshackl, C., Bastos, A., Conchedda, G., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Grassi, G., Houghton, R.A., Sitch, S., & Pongratz, J. (2023). Country-level estimates of gross and net carbon fluxes from land use, land-use change and forestry. 10.5281/zenodo.8144173.

Jones, M.W., Peters, G.P., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Andrew, R.M., Schwingshackl, C., Gütschow, J., Houghton, R.A., Friedlingstein, P., Pongratz, J., & Le Quéré, C. (2023). National contributions to climate change due to historical emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide since 1850. Scientific Data 10 (1) e155. 10.1038/s41597-023-02041-1.

Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 (2023). Net zero targets in science and policy. Environmental Research Letters 18 (2) e021003. 10.1088/1748-9326/acb4ae.

Kikstra, J.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Nicholls, Z.R.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Smith, Christopher J., Lewis, J., Lamboll, R.D., Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742, Sandstad, M., Meinshausen, M, Gidden, M.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Kriegler, E., Peters, G.P., Fuglestvedt, J.S., Skeie, R.B., Samset, B.H., Wienpahl, L., van Vuuren, D.P., van der Wijst, K.-I., Al Khourdajie, A., Forster, P.M., et al. (2022). The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures. Geoscientific Model Development 15 (24) 9075-9109. 10.5194/gmd-15-9075-2022.

Friedlingstein, P., O'Sullivan, M., Jones, M.W., Andrew, R.M., Gregor, L., Hauck, J., Le Quéré, C., Luijkx, I.T., Olsen, A., Peters, G.P., Peters, W., Pongratz, J., Schwingshackl, C., Sitch, S., Canadell, J.G., Ciais, P., Jackson, R.B., Alin, S.R., Alkama, R., Arneth, A., et al. (2022). Global Carbon Budget 2022. Earth System Science Data 14 (11) 4811-4900. 10.5194/essd-14-4811-2022.

Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Meinshausen, M., Lewis, J., Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Forster, P.M., Fuglestvedt, J.S., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, & Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742 (2022). Changes in IPCC Scenario Assessment Emulators Between SR1.5 and AR6 Unraveled. Geophysical Research Letters 49 (20) 10.1029/2022GL099788.

King, A.D., Peel, J., Ziehn, T., Bowen, K.J., McClelland, H.L.O., McMichael, C., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, & Sniderman, J.M.K. (2022). Preparing for a post-net-zero world. Nature Climate Change 12 775-777. 10.1038/s41558-022-01446-x.

Schleussner, C.-F., Ganti, G., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, & Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X (2022). An emission pathway classification reflecting the Paris Agreement climate objectives. Communications Earth & Environment 3 e135. 10.1038/s43247-022-00467-w.