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Number of items: 42.

Article

Tang, G., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Norton, A., Zaehle, S. & Meinshausen, M. (2025). Synthesizing global carbon–nitrogen coupling effects – the MAGICC coupled carbon–nitrogen cycle model v1.0. Geoscientific Model Development 18 (7), 2193-2230. 10.5194/gmd-18-2193-2025.

Tang, G., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Jones, C., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Norton, A., Ziehn, T., Romero-Prieto, A. & Meinshausen, M. (2025). Investigating carbon and nitrogen conservation in reported CMIP6 Earth system model data. Geoscientific Model Development 18 (7), 2111-2136. 10.5194/gmd-18-2111-2025.

Sadai, S., Ranganathan, M., Nauels, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1378-3377, Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Merner, D., Dahl, K., Licker, R. & Ekwurzel, B. (2025). Estimating the sea level rise responsibility of industrial carbon producers. Environmental Research Letters 20 (4), e044012. 10.1088/1748-9326/adb59f.

Ganti, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6638-4076, Pelz, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3528-8679, Klönne, U., Gidden, M.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Schleussner, C.F. & Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 (2025). Fair carbon removal obligations under climate response uncertainty. Climate Policy, 1-13. 10.1080/14693062.2025.2481138. (In Press)

Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Cummins, D.P., Fredriksen, H.-B., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Meinshausen, M., Allen, M., Jenkins, S., Leach, N., Mathison, C. & Partanen, A.-I. (2024). fair-calibrate v1.4.1: calibration, constraining, and validation of the FaIR simple climate model for reliable future climate projections. Geoscientific Model Development 17 (23), 8569-8592. 10.5194/gmd-17-8569-2024.

Schwaab, J., Hauser, M., Lamboll, R.D., Beusch, L., Gudmundsson, L., Quilcaille, Y., Lejeune, Q., Schöngart, S., Schleussner, C.-F., Nath, S., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 & Seneviratne, S.I. (2024). Spatially resolved emulated annual temperature projections for overshoot pathways. Scientific Data 11 (1) 10.1038/s41597-024-04122-1.

Schleussner, C.-F., Ganti, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6638-4076, Lejeune, Q., Zhu, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9360-6797, Pfleiderer, P., Prutz, R., Ciais, P., Frölicher, T.L., Fuss, S., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Kropf, C.M., Lacroix, F., Lamboll, R., Martyr, R., Maussion, F., McCaughey, J.W., Meinshausen, M., Mengel, M., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 et al. (2024). Overconfidence in climate overshoot. Nature 634 (8033), 366-373. 10.1038/s41586-024-08020-9.

Meinshausen, M., Schleussner, C.-F., Beyer, K., Bodeker, G., Boucher, O., Canadell, J.G., Daniel, J.S., Diongue-Niang, A., Driouech, F., Fischer, E., Forster, P., Grose, M., Hansen, G., Hausfather, Z., Ilyina, T., Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Kimutai, J., King, A.D., Lee, J.-Y., Lennard, C. et al. (2024). A perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios: towards representative emission pathways (REPs). Geoscientific Model Development 17 (11), 4533-4559. 10.5194/gmd-17-4533-2024.

Séférian, R., Bossy, T., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Dorheim, K., Su, X., Tsutsui, J. & Santana-Falcón, Y. (2024). Physical inconsistencies in the representation of the ocean heat-carbon nexus in simple climate models. Communications Earth & Environment 5 (1), e591. 10.1038/s43247-024-01464-x.

Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Grassi, G., Forsell, N., Janssens, I., Lamb, W., Minx, J., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Steinhauser, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5989-6855 & Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 (2023). Aligning climate scenarios to emissions inventories shifts global benchmarks. Nature 624, 102-108. 10.1038/s41586-023-06724-y.

Palazzo Corner, S., Siegert, M., Ceppi, P., Fox-Kemper, B., Frölicher, T., Gallego-Sala, A., Haigh, J., Hegerl, G., Jones, C., Knutti, R., Koven, C., MacDougall, A., Meinshausen, M., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Sallée, J., Sanderson, B., Séférian, R., Turetsky, M., Williams, R., Zaehle, S. et al. (2023). The Zero Emissions Commitment and climate stabilization. Frontiers in Science 1 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744.

McKinley, G., Bennington, V., Meinshausen, M. & Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 (2023). Modern air-sea flux distributions reduce uncertainty in the future ocean carbon sink. Environmental Research Letters 18 (4), e044011. 10.1088/1748-9326/acc195.

Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Grassi, G., Forsell, N., Janssens, I., Lamb, W., Minx, J., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Steinhauser, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5989-6855 & Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 (2022). Policy guidance and pitfalls aligning IPCC scenarios to national land emissions inventories. Earth and Space Science Open Archive 10.1002/essoar.10512676.2.

Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Meinshausen, M., Lewis, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924, Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Forster, P.M., Fuglestvedt, J.S., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 & Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742 (2022). Changes in IPCC Scenario Assessment Emulators Between SR1.5 and AR6 Unraveled. Geophysical Research Letters 49 (20) 10.1029/2022GL099788.

Brecha, R.J., Ganti, G., Lamboll, R.D., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Hare, B., Lewis, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924, Meinshausen, M., Schaeffer, M., Smith, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633 & Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X (2022). Institutional decarbonization scenarios evaluated against the Paris Agreement 1.5 °C goal. Nature Communications 13 (1), art.no. 4304. 10.1038/s41467-022-31734-1.

King, A.D., Peel, J., Ziehn, T., Bowen, K.J., McClelland, H.L.O., McMichael, C., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 & Sniderman, J.M.K. (2022). Preparing for a post-net-zero world. Nature Climate Change 12, 775-777. 10.1038/s41558-022-01446-x.

Dooley, K., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 & Meinshausen, M. (2022). Carbon removals from nature restoration are no substitute for steep emission reductions. One Earth 5 (7), 812-824. 10.1016/j.oneear.2022.06.002.

Koven, C., Arora, V., Cadule, P., Fisher, R., Jones, C., Lawrence, D., Lewis, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924, Lindsey, K., Mathesius, S., Meinshausen, M., Mills, M., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Sanderson, B., Swart, N., Wieder, W. & Zickfeld, K. (2022). 23rd Century surprises: Long-term dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios. Earth System Dynamics 10.5194/esd-2021-23. (Submitted)

Meinshausen, M., Lewis, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924, McGlade, C., Gütschow, J., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Burdon, R., Cozzi, L. & Hackmann, B. (2022). Realization of Paris Agreement pledges may limit warming just below 2 °C. Nature 604 (7905), 304-309. 10.1038/s41586-022-04553-z.

Meinshausen, M. & Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 (2022). GWP*is a model, not a metric. Environmental Research Letters 17 (4), e041002. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac5930.

Beusch, L., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Gudmundsson, L., Hauser, M., Meinshausen, M. & Seneviratne, S.I. (2022). From emission scenarios to spatially resolved projections with a chain of computationally efficient emulators: coupling of MAGICC (v7.5.1) and MESMER (v0.8.3). Geoscientific Model Development 15 (5), 2085-2103. 10.5194/gmd-15-2085-2022.

Lamboll, R., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742 & Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 (2022). Assessing the size and uncertainty of remaining carbon budgets. Nature Portfolio 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1934427/v1. (Submitted)

Ou, Y., Iyer, G., Clarke, L., Edmonds, J., Fawcett, A.A., Hultman, N., McFarland, J.R., Binsted, M., Cui, R., Fyson, C., Geiges, A., Gonzales-Zuñiga, S., Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Höhne, N., Jeffery, L., Kuramochi, T., Lewis, J., Meinshausen, M., Nicholls, Z., Patel, P. et al. (2021). Can updated climate pledges limit warming well below 2°C? Science 374 (6568), 693-695. 10.1126/science.abl8976.

Huppmann, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7729-7389, Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Nicholls, Z., Hörsch, J., Lamboll, R., Kishimoto, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8578-753X, Burandt, T., Fricko, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6835-9883, Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742, Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Brinkerink, M., Budzinski, M., Maczek, F., Zwickl-Bernhard, S., Welder, L., Álvarez Quispe, E.F. & Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633 (2021). pyam: Analysis and visualisation of integrated assessment and macro-energy scenarios. Open Research Europe 1, e74. 10.12688/openreseurope.13633.1.

Leach, N.J., Jenkins, S., Nicholls, Z., Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Lynch, J., Cain, M., Walsh, T., Wu, B., Tsutsui, J. & Allen, M.R. (2021). FaIRv2.0.0: a generalized impulse response model for climate uncertainty and future scenario exploration. Geoscientific Model Development 14 (5), 3007-3036. 10.5194/gmd-14-3007-2021.

Nicholls, Z., Meinshausen, M., Lewis, J., Corradi, M. Rojas, Dorheim, K., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Gieseke, R., Hope, A. P., Leach, N. J., McBride, L. A., Quilcaille, Y., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Salawitch, R. J., Samset, B. H., Sandstad, M., Shiklomanov, A., Skeie, R. B., Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Smith, S. J., Su, X. et al. (2021). Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: Synthesizing Earth System Knowledge for Probabilistic Climate Projections. Earth's Future 9 (6), e2020EF001900. 10.1029/2020EF001900.

Tebaldi, C., Debeire, K., Eyring, V., Fischer, E., Fyfe, J., Friedlingstein, P., Knutti, R., Lowe, J., O'Neill, B., Sanderson, B., van Vuuren, D., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Meinshausen, M., Nicholls, Z., Tokarska, K. B., Hurtt, G., Kriegler, E., Lamarque, J.-F., Meehl, G., Moss, R. et al. (2021). Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6. Earth System Dynamics 12 (1), 253-293. 10.5194/esd-12-253-2021.

Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Huppmann, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7729-7389, Krey, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0307-3515, Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Clarke, L., Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Nicholls, Z. & Meinshausen, Malte (2019). A new scenario logic for the Paris Agreement long-term temperature goal. Nature 573 (7774), 357-363. 10.1038/s41586-019-1541-4.

Conference or Workshop Item

Nauels, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1378-3377, Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Klönne, U., Hermans, T., Mengel, M., Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633 & Palmer, M. (2024). Exploring multi-century sea level rise commitments from 21st century cumulative emissions to inform minimum coastal adaptation needs. DOI:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-10716. In: EGU General Assembly 2024, 14-19 April 2024, Vienna.

Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Grassi, G., Forsell, N., Janssens, I., Lamb, W., Minx, J., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Steinhauser, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5989-6855 & Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 (2024). Aligning climate scenarios to emissions inventories shifts global benchmarks. DOI:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-218. In: EGU General Assembly 2024, 14-19 April 2024, Vienna.

Huppmann, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7729-7389, Gidden, M., Nicholls, Z., Hörsch, J., Lamboll, R., Kishimoto, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8578-753X & Burandt, T. (2021). Video: The pyam package An open-source Python package for analysis & visualisation of integrated assessment and macro-energy scenarios. In: Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) Youtube Channel.

Data

Sloughter, T. & Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 (2024). MAGICC AR7 fast track probabilistic distribution. 10.5281/zenodo.14533584.

Tang, G., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Norton, A., Zaehle, S. & Meinshausen, M. (2024). Model Source Code for "Synthesizing Global Carbon-Nitrogen Coupling Effects – the MAGICC Coupled Carbon-Nitrogen Cycle Model v1.0". 10.5281/zenodo.12204421.

Richters, O., Kriegler, E., Al Khourdajie, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1376-7529, Bertram, C., Bresch, D., Cui, R., Edmonds, J., Hackstock, P., Hurst, I., Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Klein, D., Kotz, M., Kropf, C., Lewis, J., Liadze, I., Mandaroux, R., Meinshausen, M., Min, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0020-1174, Nicholls, Z., Piontek, F. et al. (2024). NGFS Climate Scenarios Data Set V.5. 10.5281/zenodo.5782903.

Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Grassi, G., Forsell, N., Janssens, I., Lamb, W., Minx, Jan, Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Steinhauser, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5989-6855 & Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498 (2023). Dataset for Gidden et.al. 2023 Updated AR6 Mitigation Benchmarks using National Emissions Inventories. 10.5281/zenodo.8411053.

Richters, O., Kriegler, E., Al Khourdajie, A., Bertram, C., Bresch, D., Ciullo, A., Cornforth, E., Cui, R., Edmonds, J., Fuchs, S., Hackstock, P., Holland, D., Hurst, I., Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Klein, D., Kotz, M., Kropf, C., Lewis, J., Liadze, I., Mandaroux, R. et al. (2023). NGFS Climate Scenarios Data Set Version 4.0. 10.5281/zenodo.10070596.

Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Meinshausen, M. & Lewis, J. (2023). MAGICC7 SSP carbon cycle output using AR6 tuning. 10.5281/zenodo.7679402.

Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742, Krey, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0307-3515, Kriegler, E., Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Schaeffer, R., Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Lamboll, R., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Sandstad, M., Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, van der Wijst, K., Al -Khourdajie, A., Lecocq, F., Portugal-Pereira, J., Saheb, Y., Stromman, A., Winkler, H., Auer, C., Brutschin, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7040-3057, Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X et al. (2022). AR6 Scenarios Database. 10.5281/zenodo.7197970.

Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Meinshausen, M. & Lewis, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924 (2022). AR6 WG3 Plots and Processing. 10.5281/zenodo.6496232.

Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Meinshausen, M. & Lewis, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924 (2022). AR6 WG1 Plots and Processing. 10.5281/zenodo.6386979.

Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723, Lewis, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8155-8924, Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Lamboll, R., Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742, Sandstad, M. & Wienpahl, L. (2022). Infiller database for silicone: IPCC AR6 WGIII version. 10.5281/zenodo.6390768.

Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Huppmann, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7729-7389, Krey, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0307-3515, Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Clarke, L., Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Nicholls, Z. & Meinshausen, M. (2019). Scenario data for "A new scenario logic for the Paris Agreement long-term temperature goal". 10.22022/ENE/06-2019.48.

This list was generated on Sat Apr 26 16:13:52 2025 UTC.