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Lück, S., Callaghan, M., Schleussner, C.-F. & Minx, J. (2025). The evidence gap index: mapping evidence where it matters for climate change impacts. Climate and Development, 1-9. 10.1080/17565529.2025.2479005.

Bevacqua, E., Schleussner, C.-F. & Zscheischler, J. (2025). A year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20-year period that will reach the Paris Agreement limit. Nature Climate Change 15, 262-265. 10.1038/s41558-025-02246-9.

Pfleiderer, P., Frölicher, T.L., Kropf, C.M., Lamboll, R.D., Lejeune, Q., Capela Lourenço, T., Maussion, F., McCaughey, J.W., Quilcaille, Y., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Sanderson, B., Schuster, L., Sillmann, J., Smith, C., Theokritoff, E. & Schleussner, C.-F. (2025). Reversal of the impact chain for actionable climate information. Nature Geoscience 18, 10-19. 10.1038/s41561-024-01597-w.

Orlov, A., De Hertog, S.J., Havermann, F., Guo, S., Manola, I., Lejeune, Q., Schleussner, C.-F., Thiery, W., Pongratz, J., Humpenöder, F., Popp, A., Aunan, K., Armstrong, B., Royé, D., Cvijanovic, I., Lavigne, E., Achilleos, S., Bell, M., Masselot, P., Sera, F. et al. (2024). Impacts of land-use and land-cover changes on temperature-related mortality. Environmental Epidemiology 8 (6), e337. 10.1097/EE9.0000000000000337.

Lamb, W.F., Schleussner, C.-F., Grassi, G., Smith, S.M., Gidden, M.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Geden, O., Runge-Metzger, A., Vaughan, N.E., Nemet, G.F., Johnstone, I., Schulte, I. & Minx, J.C (2024). Countries need to provide clarity on the role of carbon dioxide removal in their climate pledges. Environmental Research Letters 19, e121001. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad91c7.

Schwaab, J., Hauser, M., Lamboll, R.D., Beusch, L., Gudmundsson, L., Quilcaille, Y., Lejeune, Q., Schöngart, S., Schleussner, C.-F., Nath, S., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 & Seneviratne, S.I. (2024). Spatially resolved emulated annual temperature projections for overshoot pathways. Scientific Data 11 (1) 10.1038/s41597-024-04122-1.

Sanderson, B.M., Booth, B.B.B., Dunne, J., Eyring, V., Fisher, R.A., Friedlingstein, P., Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Hajima, T., Jones, C.D., Jones, C., King, A., Koven, C.D., Lawrence, D.M., Lowe, J., Mengis, N., Peters, G.P., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Smith, C., Snyder, A.C., Simpson, I.R. et al. (2024). The need for carbon emissions-driven climate projections in CMIP7. Geoscientific Model Development 17 (22), 8141-8172. 10.5194/gmd-17-8141-2024.

Jones, C.G., Adloff, F., Booth, B.B.B., Cox, P.M., Eyring, V., Friedlingstein, P., Frieler, K., Hewitt, H.T., Jeffery, H.A., Joussaume, S., Koenigk, T., Lawrence, B.N., O'Rourke, E., Roberts, M.J., Sanderson, B.M., Séférian, R., Somot, S., Vidale, P.L., van Vuuren, D., Acosta, M. et al. (2024). Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy. Earth System Dynamics 15 (5), 1319-1351. 10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024.

Schleussner, C.-F., Ganti, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6638-4076, Lejeune, Q., Zhu, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9360-6797, Pfleiderer, P., Prutz, R., Ciais, P., Frölicher, T.L., Fuss, S., Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Kropf, C.M., Lacroix, F., Lamboll, R., Martyr, R., Maussion, F., McCaughey, J.W., Meinshausen, M., Mengel, M., Nicholls, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723 et al. (2024). Overconfidence in climate overshoot. Nature 634 (8033), 366-373. 10.1038/s41586-024-08020-9.

Möller, T., Högner, A.E, Schleussner, C.-F., Bien, S., Kitzmann, N.H., Lamboll, R.D., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Donges, J.F., Rockström, J. & Wunderling, N. (2024). Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks. Nature Communications 15 (1), e6192. 10.1038/s41467-024-49863-0.

Esperon-Rodriguez, M., Gallagher, R.V., Souverijns, N., Lejeune, Q., Schleussner, C.-F. & Tjoelker, M.G. (2024). Mapping the climate risk to urban forests at city scale. Landscape and Urban Planning 248, e105090. 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2024.105090.

Ganti, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6638-4076, Gasser, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647, Bui, M., Geden, O., Lamb, W., Minx, J.C., Schleussner, C.-F. & Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X (2024). Evaluating the near- and long-term role of carbon dioxide removal in meeting global climate objectives. Communications Earth & Environment 5 (1) 10.1038/s43247-024-01527-z.

Forster, P. M., Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Walsh, T., Lamb, W., Lamboll, R., Hall, B., Hauser, M., Ribes, A., Rosen, D., Gillett, N., Palmer, M. D., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, von Schuckmann, K., Trewin, B., Allen, M., Andrew, R., Betts, R., Boyer, T., Buontempo, C., Burgess, S. et al. (2024). Indicators of Global Climate Change 2023: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence. Earth System Science Data Discussions 16 (6), 2625-2658. 10.5194/essd-2024-149.

Forster, P. M., Smith, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633, Walsh, T., Lamb, W. F., Lamboll, R., Hall, B., Hauser, M., Ribes, A., Rosen, D., Gillett, N. P., Palmer, M. D., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, von Schuckmann, K., Trewin, B., Allen, M., Andrew, R., Betts, R. A., Borger, A., Boyer, T., Broersma, J. A. et al. (2024). Indicators of Global Climate Change 2023: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence. Earth System Science Data 16 (6), 2625-2658. 10.5194/essd-16-2625-2024.

Meinshausen, M., Schleussner, C.-F., Beyer, K., Bodeker, G., Boucher, O., Canadell, J.G., Daniel, J.S., Diongue-Niang, A., Driouech, F., Fischer, E., Forster, P., Grose, M., Hansen, G., Hausfather, Z., Ilyina, T., Kikstra, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1228, Kimutai, J., King, A.D., Lee, J.-Y., Lennard, C. et al. (2024). A perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios: towards representative emission pathways (REPs). Geoscientific Model Development 17 (11), 4533-4559. 10.5194/gmd-17-4533-2024.

Serdeczny, O., Andrijevic, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0199-1988, Fyson, C., Lissner, T., Menke, I., Schleussner, C.-F., Theokritoff, E. & Thomas, A. (2024). Climatic risks to adaptive capacity. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 29 (1), e10. 10.1007/s11027-023-10103-3.

Theokritoff, E., van Maanen, N., Andrijevic, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0199-1988, Thomas, A., Lissner, T. & Schleussner, C.-F. (2023). Adaptation constraints in scenarios of socio-economic development. Scientific Reports 13 (1), e19604. 10.1038/s41598-023-46931-1.

Andrijevic, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0199-1988, Schleussner, C.-F., Crespo Cuaresma, J., Lissner, T., Muttarak, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0627-4451, Riahi, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7193-3498, Theokritoff, E., Thomas, A., van Maanen, N. & Byers, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0349-5742 (2023). Towards scenario representation of adaptive capacity for global climate change assessments. Nature Climate Change 13, 778-787. 10.1038/s41558-023-01725-1.

Kloenne, U., Nauels, A., Pearson, P., DeConto, R.M., Findlay, H.S., Hugelius, G., Robinson, A., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Schuur, E., Stroeve, J. & Schleussner, C.-F. (2022). Only halving emissions by 2030 can minimize risks of crossing cryosphere thresholds. Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-022-01566-4.

Lamboll, R., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 & Schleussner, C.-F. (2022). A guide to scenarios for the PROVIDE project. Earth and Space Science Open Archive 10.1002/essoar.10511875.2. (Submitted)

Schleussner, C.-F., Ganti, G., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 & Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X (2022). An emission pathway classification reflecting the Paris Agreement climate objectives. Communications Earth & Environment 3, e135. 10.1038/s43247-022-00467-w.

Thiery, B.W., Lange, S., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Schleussner, C.-F., Gudmundsson, L., Seneviratne, S.I., Andrijevic, M., Frieler, K., Emanuel, K., Geiger, T., Bresch, D.N., Zhao, F., Willner, S.N., Büchner, Ma., Volkholz, J., Bauer, N., Chang, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4463-7778, Ciais, P., Dury, M., François, L. et al. (2021). Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes. Science 374 (6564), 158-160. 10.1126/science.abi7339.

Andrijevic, M., Schleussner, C.-F., Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, McCollum, D. & Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 (2020). COVID-19 recovery funds dwarf clean energy investment needs. Science 370 (6514), 298-300. 10.1126/science.abc9697.

Tokarska, K.B., Arora, V.K., Gillett, N.P., Lehner, F., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Schleussner, C.-F., Séférian, R. & Knutti, R. (2020). Uncertainty in carbon budget estimates due to internal climate variability. Environmental Research Letters 15 (10), e104064. 10.1088/1748-9326/abaf1b.

Fyson, C.L., Baur, S., Gidden, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X & Schleussner, C.-F. (2020). Fair-share carbon dioxide removal increases major emitter responsibility. Nature Climate Change 10, 836-841. 10.1038/s41558-020-0857-2.

Andrijevic, M., Crespo Cuaresma, J., Muttarak, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0627-4451 & Schleussner, C.-F. (2020). Governance in socioeconomic pathways and its role for future adaptive capacity. Nature Sustainability 3, 35-41. 10.1038/s41893-019-0405-0.

Andrijevic, M., Crespo Cuaresma, J., Lissner, T., Thomas, A. & Schleussner, C.-F. (2020). Overcoming gender inequality for climate resilient development. Nature Communications 11 (1) 10.1038/s41467-020-19856-w.

Tokarska, K.B., Schleussner, C.-F., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Stolpe, M.B., Matthews, H.D., Pfleiderer, P. & Gillett, N.P. (2019). Recommended temperature metrics for carbon budget estimates, model evaluation and climate policy. Nature Geoscience 12 (12), 964-971. 10.1038/s41561-019-0493-5.

Pfleiderer, P., Schleussner, C.-F., Mengel, M. & Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 (2018). Global mean temperature indicators linked to warming levels avoiding climate risks. Environmental Research Letters 13 (6), e064015. 10.1088/1748-9326/aac319.

Seneviratne, S.I., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Séférian, R., Wartenburger, R., Allen, M.R., Cain, M., Millar, R.J., Ebi, K.L., Ellis, N., Hoegh-Guldberg, O., Payne, A.J., Schleussner, C.-F., Tschakert, P. & Warren, R.F. (2018). The many possible climates from the Paris Agreement’s aim of 1.5 °C warming. Nature 558 (7708), 41-49. 10.1038/s41586-018-0181-4.

Schleussner, C.-F., Deryng, D., Müller, C., Elliott, J., Saeed, F., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Liu, W., Wang, X., Pugh, T., Thiery, W., Seneviratne, S.I. & Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 (2018). Crop productivity changes in 1.5°C and 2°C worlds under climate sensitivity uncertainty. Environmental Research Letters 13, e064007. 10.1088/1748-9326/aab63b.

Seneviratne, .I., Wartenburger, R., Guillod, B.P., Hirsch, A.L., Vogel, Martha M., Brovkin, V., van Vuuren, D.P., Schaller, N., Boysen, L., Calvin, K.V., Doelman, J., Greve, P., Havlik, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5551-5085, Humpenöder, F., Krisztin, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9241-8628, Mitchell, D., Popp, Al., Riahi, K., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Schleussner, C.-F. et al. (2018). Climate extremes, land–climate feedbacks and land-use forcing at 1.5°C. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 376 (2119), e20160450. 10.1098/rsta.2016.0450.

Rosenzweig, C., Ruane, A.C., Antle, J., Elliott, J., Ashfaq, M., Chatta, A.A., Ewert, F., Folberth, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6738-5238, Hathie, I., Havlik, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5551-5085, Hoogenboom, G., Lotze-Campen, H., MacCarthy, D.S., Mason-D'Croz, D., Contreras, E.M., Müller, C., Perez-Dominguez, I., Phillips, M., Porter, C., Raymundo, R.M. et al. (2018). Coordinating AgMIP data and models across global and regional scales for 1.5°C and 2.0°C assessments. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 376 (2119), e20160455. 10.1098/rsta.2016.0455.

Nauels, A., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Schleussner, C.-F., Meinshausen, M. & Mengel, M. (2017). Linking sea level rise and socioeconomic indicators under the shared socioeconomic pathways. Environmental Research Letters 12 (11), p. 114002. 10.1088/1748-9326/aa92b6.

Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Schleussner, C.-F. & Hare, W. (2017). Getting it right matters – temperature goal interpretations in geoscience research. Geophysical Research Letters 44 (20), 10662-10665. 10.1002/2017GL075612.

James, R., Washington, R., Schleussner, C.-F., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 & Conway, D. (2017). Characterizing half-a-degree difference: a review of methods for identifying regional climate responses to global warming targets. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 8 (2), e457. 10.1002/wcc.457.

Schleussner, C.-F., Lissner, T.K., Fischer, E.M., Wohland, J., Perrette, Mahé, Golly, A., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Childers, K., Schewe, J., Frieler, K., Mengel, M., Hare, W. & Schaeffer, M. (2016). Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5°C and 2°C. Earth System Dynamics 7, 327-351. 10.5194/esd-7-327-2016.

Book Section

Hoegh - Guldberg, O., Jacob, D., Taylor, M., Bindi, M., Brown, S., Camilloni, I., Diedhiou, A., Djalante, R., Ebi, K., Engelbrecht, F., Guiot, K., Hijioka, Y., Mehrotra, S., Payne, A., Seneviratne, S., Thomas, A., Warren, R., Zhou, G., Halim, S., Achlatis, M. et al. (2018). Chapter 3: Impacts of 1.5ºC global warming on natural and human systems. In: Global Warming of 1.5 °C an IPCC special report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Other

Bertram, C., Hilaire, J., Kriegler, E., Beck, T., Bresch, D.N., Clarke, L., Cui, R., Edmonds, J., Min, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0020-1174, Piontek, F., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061, Schleussner, C.-F., van Ruijven, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1232-5892 & Yu, S. (2020). NGFS Climate Scenarios Database: Technical Documentation. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), University of Maryland (UMD), Climate Analytics (CA), Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich (ETHZ)